Africa defies global slump

2013-12-01 14:00

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World’s appetite for natural resources the major driver of this stellar record, write Carlos Lopes and Tony Elumelu

The economic performance of Africa in the past few years has been remarkable. The continent has consistently defied the global trend.

Five years after the global financial system came perilously close to collapse, the global economic outlook is still uncertain.

In Europe, GDP is still below precrisis levels and unemployment is at a record high. Recovery in the US, although stronger, remains weak by historic standards and even China, which has done so much to drive global growth, is slowing down.

Yet in what some might call an unexpected twist, average growth in Africa over the past decade has been more than 5%.

Of the 10 fastest-growing global economies, seven are in sub-Saharan Africa. But how will this economic spike be sustained? How do we ensure we continue along this trajectory?

It is the world’s appetite for Africa’s rich natural resources which, up to now, has been the major driver of this stellar record.

And it is this same appetite that will provide both the opportunity and the solution for Africa to sustain these economic achievements.

While not all African countries are commodity rich, the continent has 12% of the world’s oil reserves, 40% of its gold, and 80% to 90% of its chromium and platinum. Africa is also home to 60% of the world’s underutilised arable land and has vast timber resources.

The idea that these abundant natural resources can be the driver for an industrial revolution across the continent is growing.

The latest edition of the Economic Report on Africa (ERA 2013) sets out how the continent’s future will be determined by how policies that promote commodity-based industrialisation are designed and implemented.

We believe that such a transformation is both imperative and possible.

But it requires courage, vision and a new mind-set from the continent’s business and political leaders to overcome the challenges which continue to hold back the building of a successful and dynamic industrial base in Africa.

There is no one-size-fits-all solution to accelerating resource-based industrialisation. But important lessons can be learnt from the success of countries such as Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and Venezuela in promoting value addition, new services and technological capabilities.

Malaysia, in particular, is a perfect example of how a commodity-based economy was transformed, through focused state interventions and an allocation of resources towards the industrial sector, to a high-income and diverse manufacturer in only a few decades.

Through a series of five-year development plans, centred on a vision to transform the structure of the economy and raise incomes in the medium and long term, investment was oriented towards industry.

Today, Malaysia is a key manufacturer and exporter of a range of goods and services.

A supportive policy and investment framework is essential to attract long-term investors. Policies to build local capacity and address inequality are essential. Moreover, developing skills through training and incentives will ensure that local economies are able to grow and diversify.

A barrier to Africa’s industrialisation that is not often talked about is the mind-set of private sector leaders – both in and outside Africa.

Many are still indulging in the same historical rent-seeking attitudes that have resulted in the short-terms gains of crude, cocoa and gold sales.

More business leaders need to change their thinking and understand that short-term revenue gains – as opposed to long-term value addition – offer little or no contribution to sustainable economic growth.

We are now seeing a new style of African business leader emerging – leaders who are building, investing, growing for Africa’s future. It is their efforts that will provide the jobs and income that will have the biggest impact on tackling poverty and driving wider social progress.

Africa’s private sector must take the lead in improving coordination between farmers, growers, processors and exporters, increasing competitiveness in the value chain and ensuring the price, quality and standards that market demands are met.

We need to see national and regional champions created and supported, and help foster effective collaboration between public and private sector, and the development world.

This is the essence of the emerging economic philosophy called Africapitalism, a private sector-led partnership mode focused on Africa’s development.

We have already seen real progress on the continent. Ethiopia’s leather industry is not only developing fast, but is also increasing high-value-added activities. South Africa and Egypt are making similar strides.

In Ghana and Zambia, the cocoa and mining sectors have long contributed to wider socioeconomic growth. In east Africa, the success of Kenya’s fresh vegetable producers in adding value to their exports has been remarkable.

But when Africa only sees some 10% of the income from its own coffee crop, we can see that much work still needs to be done.

»?Lopes is executive secretary of the UN Economic Commission for Africa. Elumelu is an entrepreneur, a philanthropist and the chairman of Heirs Holdings, a pan-African investment company. This article first appeared on CNN.com International

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