How SA will vote

2014-05-04 06:00

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After one of the most hard-fought elections, the ANC looks set to retain its more than 60% electoral majority in Parliament despite the scandals that have engulfed it under President Jacob Zuma’s leadership.

The latest survey by pollster Ipsos puts the ANC’s electoral support at 63.4% in the case of a moderate voter turnout, the DA’s at 23% and that of the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) at just under 5%.

While the DA is still confident of a good showing in Gauteng and Northern Cape, indications are that it will not dislodge the ANC from power in these provinces.

In Western Cape, the ANC’s hope of reversing its losses from the 2009 elections will be dealt a blow as the DA is set to hold on to the only province it governs and increase its dominance.

Voter turnout could also affect the final outcome, with higher turnout favouring the ANC in Gauteng. But nationally, a high voter turnout will favour opposition parties.

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