‘ANC will win 73% in KZN’

2014-05-03 00:00

A LEADING polling company yesterday gave the ANC in KwaZulu-Natal a last-minute confidence boost, predicting it would win up to 73% of the vote in the province next week.

The poll by Ipsos of 3 730 respondents between February 20 and March 28 in its Pulse of the People study measured support from voters who were registered to vote.

The prediction for the ANC, released late yesterday, suggests a significant increase in the party’s support in KwaZulu-Natal, where it achieved a 62,9% win in the last general election.

The survey’s margin of error puts the party’s result at a low of 68,9% in a moderate voter turnout scenario.

The same survey shows the IFP’s support plummeting by half to 11% and predicts the DA becoming the official opposition, increasing its provincial support to 12%, up from the 9,15% it garnered in 2009.

According to the survey, the NFP, EFF and ACDP are marginal provincial political players at two percent each, with the Minority Front predicted to get only one percent.

The latest poll shows a sharp increase in support for the ANC, compared to an earlier poll suggesting the party would achieve 56% in the province, significantly down on the previous election.

Ipsos spokesperson Mari Harris said the increase in ANC support was because the people who were polled were registered voters rather than simply being eligible voters, which the last poll measured.

The survey predicts that nationally the ANC will win between 60,2 to 65,5%. The ANC achieved 65,9% in the last poll.

The DA, Ipsos predicted, will win between 20,7 and 23,3%. In the last election it won 16,7%

The EFF looks unlikely to make a major impact nationally, according to Ipsos, predicting a best-case scenario of 5,3%, with Agang not getting more than 0,5%.

The Ipsos poll also predicted the ANC will hold onto hotly contested Gauteng with 58% of the vote.

Meanwhile, the major parties in KwaZulu-Natal prepare this weekend for a big final push ahead of Wednesday’s elections.

Narend Singh, IFP national campaign committee chairperson, said his party would take votes away from its rivals in the ANC and NFP, especially in Zululand.

NFP leader Zanele Magwaz-Msibi, also speaking prior to the Ipsos poll, predicted a stronger showing than in the previous local government elections, which it had first contested.

The NFP intended to consolidate itself in Zululand first and then penetrate other parts of the province.

The DA predicted it would become the official opposition.

“What we know here in KZN is that we will be the official opposition. We will be in a strong position to hold the ANC accountable,” said provincial chairperson Haniff Hoosen.

Hoosen said his party had over the years seen significant growth in the province, even in areas it has had no support in before.

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