Khaya Dlanga

Will black voters cheat on ANC?

2011-03-02 10:41

Like a long time married couple, many believe that the African National Congress takes them for granted. Mind you, that has nothing to do with the grants. They believe that the ANC knows that no matter what it does, the voters will put out, by voting for it, even though there is much unhappiness in the marriage. The voter has been going out with the ANC for far too long to want to check out the dating scene again, especially after seeing what happened to the ANC’s ex, Cope.

It went out there to find new love, it all seemed hunky dory at the beginning. There was much happiness. Then, out of the blue, domestic violence of mountain hill proportions took place right on the yard for the whole community to see. Now, who wants that? They don’t want to go out there to face abuse from a new lover. The voter would rather stay in this unhappy marriage.

What the ANC isn’t counting on though is cheating. The voter will remain married to the ANC during these local government elections but there will be much cheating that will take place. Not because they are in love with someone else, it’s just to have carefree sex with someone else to see what it’s like. Out of curiosity perhaps. Like all cheaters, they won’t tell anyone that they are out there cheating. And oh yes, the voter will cheat with, gasp, a white person, the DA.

The voter sees the DA as that hard working young man who is making things happen. They don’t really trust this young man; they are suspicious of him, which is why they won’t commit to him.

OK, I’m tired of trying to make a metaphor. Let me give it to you straight. I asked a question on the social network Twitter yesterday. The question was simple and it is on everyone’s mind already: “Is the ANC taking voters for granted?”

Over 90% of the respondents said that it does take them for granted. Yet they would continue to vote for it “because there is no alternative”. The ANC knows this. Someone responded by saying, “Actually, I think ANC voters might be suffering from battered wife syndrome.” This is something I wrote about in a rather melodramatic blog two years ago "He only beats me because he loves me".

So the people are not happy with the ANC. They think the opposition is doing a better job, but they can’t bring themselves to vote for someone else. The relationship people have with the ANC is beyond logical; it’s an emotional and long standing one. It will be difficult for people to go there and mark an X next to another political party. I suspect that some might even go to the ballot box with the intention of voting for another party, but the sight of that green, gold and black is just too powerful. This became clear when I asked the question, “If you agreed with the DA’s policies as a black person, would you vote for the DA?” The answers were an overwhelming “Never!” And this from an educated people.

The DA will probably make gains in these coming local government elections. It won’t make large and unprecedented gains, but it will make the ANC a little nervous. Many see the DA as doers. When people look at how the Cape is run and how the rest of the country is run, there is a bit of envy, even though many will quote the great Toiletgate saga of Cape Town.

If the ANC continues to take voters for granted, in future voters will split their vote this way; they will give the ANC national government but will give local governments to the DA. If the DA starts producing great black leaders, not a leader, but many black leaders, the ANC should worry. Really worry because the voters might start cheating on the ANC publicly.

That is all. As you were.

- Follow Khaya on Twitter.

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