Johannesburg

Thursday

Sunny. Pleasantly warm.

13°C
28°C

7 day forecasts
Alistair Fairweather

Clash of the titans

2009-07-10 10:43

If business is war then two of the world's biggest companies have finally stopped skirmishing on their borders and brought out the heavy artillery. On the 7th of July Google fired the first shell by announcing that they will begin offering their own operating system in mid 2010.

The warhead - called Chrome OS - is aimed straight at the heart of Microsoft who have built their entire business around operating systems since the 1970s, first with MS DOS and then the globally dominating Windows series.

But while Microsoft have always charged for their software, Google plan to give theirs away for free. What's more Google are starting from a completely fresh perspective - one with the potential to undermine Microsoft’s entire business model.

If the name "Chrome" sounds familiar that’s because it’s also the name of Google's web browser (the program you're using to view the internet right now is a browser).

And this isn't just a case of lazy naming. By evolving Chrome into an operating system Google are planning to turn the entire software world on its head and make browsing the centre of computing.

Hang on, isn't an operating system a lot more complicated that a browser? Doesn't a browser need an operating system to, well, operate?

Dumber and cheaper

That's the whole genius of the plan. Google are betting that the centre of influence in computing is moving out of personal computers and into the massive computing power of the internet, known as the "cloud".

That means in future that computers will be dumber and cheaper. They will rely on the enormous banks of computers that power the internet to do much of their thinking for them.

This is already happening. One of the fastest growing sectors in computing is "netbooks" - smaller, cheaper, less powerful portable computers with speedy connections to the internet that focus on tasks like email and browsing the net.

Currently Microsoft is tussling with free operating systems like Linux for ownership of this market, and Google wants its own share of the pie.

So what? There’s nothing particularly revolutionary about a free operating system. They have been around for longer than Microsoft have been in existence, let alone Google. And some of them are backed by huge companies like IBM and SAP.

Yet none of those other companies is as heavily invested in cloud computing as Google. And it's cloud computing that poses the greatest risk to Microsoft’s dominance.

Microsoft's bread and butter has always been its desktop applications - programs like Word, Outlook and PowerPoint. Operating systems are like plumbing - expensive but necessary - and Microsoft have lost money on them for years. This was justified because they knew that by owning the "platform" they would be able earn it all back on desktop apps.

A big 'if'

Google Docs, on the other hand, is nearly as good as Microsoft's Office but is free and requires no hard drive space and much less power (and therefore can run on a cheaper computer). It's a true "cloud" application - its "platform" is the internet.

So Google have, in effect, pulled Microsoft's own trick on them but in reverse, and for free. And given how quickly Microsoft are losing market share in the browser market (it’s now just above 50%), they have real cause for concern. If Chrome OS takes off, Google will start to hurt more than Microsoft's pride.

That's still a big "if" though. For all their mistakes Microsoft are still the top dog of software. Despite the current media hyperbole about Chrome OS, Windows still commands 90% of the market share in operating systems. Even if Chrome lives up to the hype it will still take years to get a foothold.

Only one thing is certain about this battle - peace talks are unlikely to begin anytime soon. We're in for a long slog and I don’t think anyone can accurately predict a winner. What we can be sure of is that the conflict will change software (and the internet) forever.

- Alistair is Social Media Manager at 20FourLabs.

Send your comments to Alistair

Disclaimer: News24 encourages freedom of speech and the expression of diverse views. The views of columnists published on News24 are therefore their own and do not necessarily represent the views of News24.

- News24

Add your view to this conversation - comment below

Comment on this story


cuba 7/10/2009 11:55:49 AM
i'm pretty sure skynet started off with this 'cloud' theory, can't wait to see it in anycase

Robert 7/10/2009 12:38:03 PM
I don't see this really taking off for at least 15 years... at absolute best. I'll concede that what Google propose to offer may be viable on netbooks (which are really not much more than a iPhone/Blackberry on steroids) a market that they have now targeted.

Lets face it, love them or hate them, Microsoft have a massive head start on anything Google can offer. Even Apple have problems with their systems (a very limited range). I think people have blow this way out of proportion because lets face it, power users aren't going to be using Google's Chrome OS. It won't be able to work on any system (drivers have been, are and always will be an issue) but be limited to a select few. You can't run games or any other OS dependent software.

I don't see anything more than an alternative to the Linux offerings on the current netbooks. It's not a Google vs Microsoft battle... it's Google once again picking on the smaller guy - granted in an effort to build steam to take on Microsoft... in perhaps 15 years ;)

Robert 7/10/2009 12:48:15 PM
Um... Firstly, according to my records it looks like Microsoft have about 65% of the market share in browsers at the moment - they have a multitude of them (to most designers and developers bane). I've used Hitwise to figure that one out for the month of June. While most non-tech related websites show a much higher percentage on average.

Not to mention that a desktop OS offers so much more than cloud computing. Because lets face it, do you really want to do all you computing online? Leaving all your information on a server somewhere else in the world that anyone with that key can access? Also with such limited bandwidth as well as being capped, it's not going to be long before we realise that the 500mb cap just isn't enough - costing a lot more in the long run.

But hey, maybe it's just me?

TB 7/10/2009 1:04:41 PM
Nothing in life is for free. Once they have control over you - hook, line and sinker - the charges will start rolling in - mark my word. Nope thanks. I prefer to have control over my own software.

superduper 7/10/2009 2:02:06 PM
i used to struggle to keep up with what went on in the computer world. now i rely on mr. fairweather. keep 'em coming, boet. you save me much time.

Ann 7/10/2009 2:28:44 PM
Very informative and well written.

Francois 7/10/2009 2:58:58 PM
*sigh* Another anti-Microsoft article from Alistair. Who could have guessed?

This type of OS will never be any kind of threat to Microsoft. Who wants their applications online? What if you want to work and your internet is down? And imagine the bandwidth costs for permanently syncing with the servers? This is even worse than Linux. With all the great reviews that the Windows 7 beta's are getting, Google will have to try something different than this to get a worthwhile share in their OS market.

Frank d 7/10/2009 3:01:03 PM
Where does the only 50% of browser share for MS come from? I'd love to believe that Firefox, Opera, Chrome, etc, were that well spread but I can't digest it with MS prodcust being packaged with Windows, old habits and few corporates moving away from MS

HVR 7/10/2009 3:06:10 PM
Never really understood the appeal behind "Cloud computing". Only capital expenditure the end-user safes on is non-volatile storage, currently the cheapest part on any computing device. Don't see taken off more than we currently experience. Also the whole argument that an OS will be browser based due to "cloud computing is flawed since it doesn't matter how "dumb and cheap" the user device is the core complexity of the OS stays the same.

HVR 7/10/2009 3:15:03 PM
@Francois. So either you are a MS employee or a MS gold suck.. I mean partner. Dude, Windows 7 is better than Vista; if take a piece of crap and improve it you get a better piece of crap sadly it is still crap. Ppl will stick with XP till MS scrap the whole Vista platform. Why upgrade to something that performs precisely the same function but use 100 time the resources?

Francois 7/10/2009 3:15:21 PM
Once again, do some research before writing an article with your own "facts".

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usage_share_of_web_browsers

IE has over 80% from certain sources. You can't just take one source and use that as a statistic.

Yesnomaybe 7/10/2009 3:43:49 PM
There is a reason computing moved to desktops and away from the terminal-server (thin client) model. Generally, it still has selective niche areas where it's the solution of choice, but I don't believe it will be that pervasive in the near future. Netbooks are a great invention but also only have limited application value, like cellphones. "Cloud computing" is nowhere near offering everything a desktop user would require and is nothing more than an improved terminal-server model which will have its niche but never entirely take over the computing market.

Alistair 7/10/2009 4:03:23 PM
@Francois - anti-Microsoft? I think you've misread me. And you make a good point - MS OSs are going to rule the roost for quite some time - as I said in the article.

@Robert and @Frank d - according to the latest stats from Statcounter IE (all versions) only has 54% of the market. Granted StatCounter isn't the bible on browser usage, but it's a fair indication of trends.

RobotFood 7/10/2009 4:05:24 PM
South Africa's pipes to the cloud is still too thin and flimsy too see this kick off here. Especially in the home market where our personal computer are also entertainment centers. But I develop software for an environment where most of the processing happens server side. This is directly in line with what Google is offering. In a corporate setup I can see this also taking off: System users are given cheap Hardware with FREE software that will have the same power as the Microsoft solution. There will be a lot more control over the applications the users run. Google doesn't have to convince us. They need to convince the corporate decision makers.

JayCee @ Francois 7/10/2009 4:25:13 PM
The term thinking out the box doesn't mean logging off your p0rn site... instead, try and not apply the concept to the little box of South Africa with its stifled telecomms industry & (hellishly) expensive bandwidth.
If you knew just how far even Nigeria is in front of South Africa, you'd realise that that the average joe out there (i.e. no box-headed "power user") with multiple unlimited bandwidth options will find the idea. *tick* *tick* *tick*

Interloper 7/10/2009 9:19:38 PM
It would be useful if your articles can be supported by fact. Where do you get that no other company has invested as much in cloud computing as Google? I assume you are talking about the Google App Engine which is really not even on the same level as Azure or something like Amazon EC2. Try and get some balance in your articles instead of bashing MS at every opportunity like a university student that just discovered Java.

spaceman 7/10/2009 9:59:42 PM
If you ask me, us consumers should resist, this cloud story. It's a way of being able to access people's data. might as well plug a spike at the back of our heads.

Marius 7/11/2009 7:42:41 AM
Thomasa J Watson, former CEO of IBM is well known for his alleged 1943 statement: "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers. Even in the 80's nobody had personal computers. Google is clever- they did their research. The next computer age is dawning upon us and I think Google will be a main player.

Jay 7/11/2009 2:35:00 PM
Alot of people complaining here about bandwidth costs etc - thats Telkoms limitation! I am working in the UK at the moment and have a 50mb line through Virgin with unlimited bandwidth - costs me about R400 a month (http://allyours.virginmedia.com/websales/product.do?id=15208)

Gmail is another free / cheaper alternative to Microsoft Exchange - alot of SOHO setups are taking advantage of this new technology.

Also Internet based gaming is becoming popular (bigpoint.com etc) - I would keep an open mind as it already in place and doing well...

Now if only Telkom can get it act (and pricing) sorted out.

Arend 7/12/2009 1:42:01 AM
Robert,
I have to agree with you. Chrome is aimed entirely at the net book market, and whilst this market is popular at the moment, it is still a very small piece of the pie. As for the browser market share comment. IE market share dropped a massive 8% this month. Now this may well bey a statistical anomaly, so I would be skeptical until it is confirmed by multiple sources....

Great column Alistair!

Roelof 7/12/2009 10:05:27 AM
If microsoft bring the price down on their os and take longer to repair all the flaws and improve the quality, I will buy it. Until then I'll be using whatever is free or cheaper.
Personally I hate IE (all of them) I use firefox or opera, less problems.

BS 7/13/2009 7:31:54 AM
Your articles are always one sided and inaccurate. Microsoft bashing is so 20th century. Get some new material. Microsoft is the only company offering end to end solutions for customers which is why they are dominating IT. Everyone else focuses on one niche and complains about MS monopoly. If you wanna run with the big dogs don't piss like a puppy

me 7/13/2009 8:27:53 AM
ammmm, try using a netbook before you move to utopia, you can hardly view the photos off of your digital camera never mind try and remove the red eye. I would'n't run an operating system from the google clowns if you paid me, the chrome browser spends more time sending information to google about my browsing habits than it does actually getting me a website....

dagwud 7/13/2009 9:12:07 AM
@Francois: "Who wants their applications online?" Well I'd say any company that wants to take advantage of a business strength of cloud computing in which is to outsource expensive functions such as maintenance and backups to a service which does them for you. You ditch the old backup servers (and their expensive maintenance contracts) and pay much less (if anything) to have it done for you.

I agree with you though that the fact that this requires permanent internet is a problem, but this can be overcome (to an extent) by, for example, using the client machine as temporary storage when the cloud cannot be reached.

pp 7/13/2009 10:57:10 AM
It may seem impossible (for now) in SA, for this to become a reality, but I believe the reason for that is because of SA's slow, unreliable and limited connectivity.
Once South Africans are given a taste of fast (like 16MBits+), reliable (99.9% uptime), and unlimited (yes, that means a completely flat rate, without capping) connectivity, and if it's offered at an affordable price (as it is in Europe & the US) then I believe that perception will change, and it may seem more realistic in people's minds.

d 7/14/2009 11:37:32 AM
This OS war reminds me of another one, back in the day when Sony was the only name in portable music along came newly appointed Steve Jobs and thought to take it all away from Sony and there it was, the ipod. And I'm not saying that this is what is going to happen in this case, but a bit of compition for Microsoft is good, because maybe they will be more cautious before pushing inferior software into the market place(Vista). So it could be that there is some kind of middleground with this two different ways of developing and using OS's, and I hope that with this "middleground" we will see increased compatibillity for example MACS using Intel chips and making it possible to run Mac OS and MS OS on the same machine.


Livhu 7/14/2009 3:29:18 PM
Eish! the Idea of Applications on line is not a very enticing one.bt stiff competitions always bring the best out of the rivals thus a fair deal for the users

McVanS 7/14/2009 4:24:55 PM
I find it hard to believe MS will just give up. Also this is Africa. The day I can connect to a T1 line at low cost to my home I will believe. For now it’s just a pipe dream. Don’t get me wrong, I’m all for alternatives and open source. Unfortunately MS is entrenched especially in the environment I work in. They just have the good stuff, the colourful stuff and the stuff users are use to.... and think they want or need. I see managers walking around bragging about their new Office 2007 when they don’t even use 90% of the functionality. Where Office 2000 would have done the job without additional overhead.... dare I say... open office would have worked just as well ... and it for free. Then you’ve got VMware, Citrix and more just to make things interesting. No my dear sir... Microsoft has brainwashed the people and the people want Microsoft. Microsoft is here to stay.
Your name
*
Email
*
Comment
*
 
 
 

inside news24

Weather
Traffic
Lottery
Cpt: 15-23°C Sunny. Mild. Pta: 17-32°C Sunny. Pleasantly warm.
Jhb: 13-28°C Sunny. Pleasantly warm. Bloem: 16-32°C Morning clouds. Pleasantly warm.
Dbn: 19-24°C A few showers. Afternoon clouds. Mild. PE: 17-21°C Mostly sunny. Mild.
7 day forecasts...

Jobs - Find your dream job

Manager Support Systems - Data Warehouse

Western Cape - Cape Town
Quiglies Solutions
R450,000-480,000 Per Annum Cost To Company Negotiable

HR PA / Administrator

Western Cape
Personastaff

HR PA / Administrator

Western Cape
Personastaff

Cars - Search 1000's of new and used cars

AUDI

2009 Audi A3 2.0 T Sportback Manual - 24000kms
Lava Grey & Tan leather interior
R 275 000

VOLKSWAGEN

CitiGolf 1.4i VeloCiti 5-dr Phase II
2007
R 72,995.00

TOYOTA

Yaris T1 1.0 3-dr
2008
R 85,990.00

BMW

Z4 3.2i M E86 Coupe
2006
R 339,990.00

Property - Find a new home

MIDSTREAM ESTATE

Single Residential R2,880,000

MONTANA PARK

Single Residential R1,490,000

SEEMEEUVLUG

Single Residential R820,000

Travel - Look, Book, Go!

Cape Town Summer

Escape the Jozi crunch and head down to the Mother City this festive season with package deals from R1 814 per person sharing. Book now!

Free Games - TOO MUCH NEWS? TAKE A BREAK!

Kalahari.net - shop online today

Great Festive Savings on Books

Up to 30% Off ALL Books. 2.3 million titles on SALE.

Sleek New iPod Range. Order Your's Now!

iPod nano 16GB - Black, Was R2,499.00 Now R2,299.00! Save R200!

Up to 40% off Fabulous Festive Flicks

46 000 DVDs and Blu-Ray on sale now! Pre-order Up and District 9!

Up to 20% off ALL Music

100s of festive new releases now in stock! Now, Bump 25, Bon Jovi & more!

1000s of Festive Toys on Sale

Lots of Toys, free gift wrap, lowest prices on Lego Mindstorm, Ben 10, Hannah Montana & more!

Hot Deal of the Day!

Up to 30% off Books

Ends midnight, 30 November

2.3 million titles on sale! New Stieg Larsson, Jeremy Clarkson, Jamie Oliver & more!

Up to 40% Off Sale on All Books, Toys, CDs, DVDs & Games!