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Game Over Gaza

25 July 2014, 08:22

To all those espousing their puerile comments on the Israel Hamas conflict, please continue in your bliss/hateful small-mindedness – it matters not one iota and will not have any bearing on the motives, tactics, goals and strategies employed by Hamas and Israel.

What matters is the ‘game’, or the stakes for winning or losing, and ultimately the outcome. It must be asked: What is hoped to be achieved? For Hamas, their stated goal is not just the lifting of the blockade or the release of Hamas prisoners in Israel, but ultimately the return of all Israel to their claim of rightful Arab/Palestinian ownership – which means the demise of Israel as it now stands. Hamas have made this intention very clear. Israel, on the other hand, wants nothing more than peaceful co-existence with her neighbours. As much as the emotive ‘land-stealing’ loons bleat about Israel the ‘occupier’, it must be acknowledged that Israel only occupies the West Bank to keep it demilitarised, and would return it and agree to a Palestinian State on conditions of recognition and peaceful co-existence. They would even give up East Jerusalem to achieve this. It worked with Egypt, and it was supposed to work with Gaza.

Gaza was returned to the Palestinians in 2005 as a test – “Land for peace”. Anyone remember that? PLEASE DO NOT HAVE AN ATTACK OF AMNESIA ABOUT THIS FACT. Every trace of Jews and Jewish life was removed and Israel withdrew to its 1967 border. Border crossings were opened between Israel and Egypt and free trade and movement occurred. It was promised that Gaza would become the Singapore of the Middle East. If a peaceful transition was to be realised between the Gaza territory and Israel, this would have then paved the way to Israel withdrawing from the West Bank as well for a comprehensive peace with Palestine and the ultimate achieving of their desire for statehood - with Israel’s blessings, painful as they may be. Within two years, Hamas came to power in a one-time democratic election, never to be repeated (for those who indignantly claim Hamas was democratically elected, please do not be foolish in thinking that Gaza has achieved a sustainable democratic establishment, having banished Fatah within weeks) - only to attack Israel from that moment on with the ideological intent to have Israel eradicated.
Israel responded as any country would, which was to close borders and inhibit Hamas ability to import arms with which to attack Israel, and has had to fight the scourge of terrorism from this quarter ever since.
So when Palestinian apologist seek to promote opprobrium against Israel for causing Gaza suffering and 'ghettoisation' and 'world’s largest prison', then the casus belli or 'just cause' becomes quite laughable.
Hamas is the cause of Palestinian suffering and deaths in Gaza, as well as an equal partner in the overall stagnation of a durable peace and two state solution. But then, we know that Hamas seek a no-state solution - that is, a no State of Israel solution.

So, as to the outcome, according to the Game Theory zero-sum game, which Hamas has employed against Israel, each will bleed the other with no discernible winner emerging. This would be true if each side were to have the same means, game tokens (armaments), and strategy. Hamas started with a finite number of rocket missiles which serves to lay siege to Israel, but with little damage impact and a completely diminished ability to re-arm. What Hamas does have is an ideological will to continue its siege on Israel beyond that which is rational, and allowing its actions to cause the self-sacrificing of Gaza civilians as cannon fodder for its propaganda war machine. This has proved more effective than all its rockets fired at Israel – cynical as it may seem.

Israel has far superior armaments and material, the backing of Western democracies, ability to re-arm at will, and most importantly for Israel, it MUST play the game Hamas started or die. Any person with a three digit IQ, Palestinians included, know this is not an option and that Israel is here to stay. Hamas started a game that only Hamas can conclude, which is to capitulate. Israel cannot capitulate, but it has the means to change the game, which Hamas will eventually force Israel to consider and implement.

The game is fast reaching the stage of ‘them’ or ‘us’, which means that one or the other side must escalate beyond the strictures of the game. A simple allegory would come down to two chess players fighting to a finish, whereby one opponent pulls out a gun and shoots the other dead. In this case Israel has the gun.

Game over.

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