The arrival of an extremist group known as The Islamic State of Iraq and al-Shams or ISIS, -aka ISIL, on the Middle Eastern stage at first seemed to fall into the ‘been there done that’ category.
This group appear as a well-trained bunch of thugs high on morale, while being well-supplied with weapons. Which begs the question how and where a rag-tag group like ISIS received the training, weaponry, and supplies to launch an offensive against the Iraq government, the ruling party’s badly organised military forces notwithstanding.
What is the situation reminiscent of – the ongoing civil war in Syria? Remember the free Syrian army, it also morphed from a disjointed rag-tag force to a military sophisticated one, in addition to soliciting foreign support on all fronts.
Hysteria always makes one uncomfortable and can be whipped up by media quite easily in their efforts to dictate the identity of the enemy as well as the narrative - at the behest of the–powers-that-be – then sell it to the public for consumption, who of course are most easily manipulated when they‘re at their most hysterical.
The Kurds recently demonstrated that there is a limit to how much an area ten thousand men can control when they captured Kirkuk. So ISIS isn’t the threat that the mainstream media would have us believe. At least – not yet.
Some news commentators hold to the view of Saudi involvement. They are after all the paymasters for the war in Syria so this would be a logical conclusion. So maybe they’re ISIS mercenaries rather than militants? What does Saudi Arabia stand to gain from this situation?
They want to quash the possibility of an Iran-Iraq-Syria natural gas pipeline.
Deny the Iranians an overland route for continuation of weapons supplies to Syria.
Weaken the Iraqi-Shiite government.
What about the attempt to split up Iraq, for which there has been speculation.
The recent successes of ISIS may spur on more fighters under their banner though,
especially in North Western Iraq.
And of what of the U.S. – the Saudi’s chief ally in the region, did they mastermind this plan for Iraq to placate Saudi Arabia for renegading on regime change in Syria by withdrawing the plan for an invasion at the last minute. Word has it that this action soured relations between the two countries considerably. Maybe the Yanks decided they can’t afford to lose valuable Saudi support so this recent development in Iraq is intended to mend the rift, an olive branch offering of sorts.
With Iran coming on board with the Americans over the Iraq saga, could one of the spin-offs be to neutralise them, so the Syrian regime change efforts can be revisited covertly and unhindered with one of Assad’s major allies being contained.
The possibilities are endless it seems.