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Julius Malema – South Africa’s new hope?

13 May 2014, 07:34
Statistical Reflection

In the 2014 National and Provincial elections, the ANC has yet again easily won the elections.  The 2014 statistics now indicate that the ANC has a massive 62.15% of votes.  This is a giant score as compared with the next contender, DA with a distant 22.23%.  Considering the levels of corruption the ANC has fostered, it is indeed very surprising that the majority of Bantu speaking South African’s have continued to support the party.  The EFF, brand new kid on the block, just a few months old, has taken a very impressive 6.35%.  The rest have performed very poorly indeed: Cope with a disappointing 0.67%, a massive drop from when they first came to the scene, full of promise. 

Let us go back in time and look what happened in democratic South Africa.   At the dawn of our democracy in 1994, the ANC won only 62.6%.  Only marginally better than this effort!  Can you believe it?  That was a time when the ANC was largely scandal free, led by the enigmatic Nelson Mandela, and supported, at least in spirit, by almost all non-white South Africans.  Indeed, I would argue that educated, liberal, White South Africans who wanted to see a change for the better, and not too taken by the Swart Gevaar idea would have voted for the ANC.  In that election the Nats took 20.4%.  Third place went to the IFP, with 10.5%.  Freedom Front was fourth place led by General Constand Viljoen, 2.17%; fifth was the Democratic Party with just 1.73%, let by Zack de Beer.

In the 1999 elections a vibrant Thabo Mbeki took over from noble Nelson Mandela and the ANC grew to 66.35%.  The then Democratic Party was in second place with dynamic Tony Leon at the helm, collecting vastly improved 9.56%.  Into third place moved IFP with 8.58%.
In the 2004 elections, the ANC, under aids-denialist president Thabo Mbeki garnered a landslide 69.69%.  That was the best performance of the ANC, ever.  The DA under Tony Leon continued a moderate growth to take 12.37%.  Third place went to a declining IFP with 6,97%.  The New National Party got 1.65% under the ready to defect Marthinus van Schalkwyk.

In the 2009 elections, the educated class disliked, Jacob Zuma, comes to ANC power and duly recalls Thabo following the famous Polokwane indaba. There was much media speculation that the ANC might see a significant drop in support considering the growing corruption scandals and failures to deliver services. In that election the ANC saw a modest drop in support, taking 65.9%.  But, it was party as usual for the ANC, their leader declaring that the party would rule until…

The DA in 2009 was led by a talented and hardworking Helen Zille saw another leap in growth, taking 16.6% of votes.  The Polokwane fallout party, COPE made massive inroads taking 7.42% led by ShiKota.  It was a hopeful time, promising a new dawn. But alas…  

The desperate need for balance

The dominance of the ANC, has been a cause for concern amongst the middle class, academics, NGOs, business and the free media.  Over the years the ANC has abused its power, sought to limit media freedom, encouraged cronyism, nurtured corruption at all levels and made nepotism a nationally accepted strategy.

Julius the Slayer

The educated community of South Africa have long been waiting for a political party that can challenge the dominance of the ANC.  The DA is, hmm… too soft.  COPE, hmm, have floundered with a lack of ideas.  IFP, hmm, what a joke.  PAC, disappeared. Kiss, oh please.  Agang - suicide through Mampara Ramphele’s greed and delusions of grandeur.

Out of this lethargy, rises an unlikely phoenix, to the cause of the rational South African.  Julius, anti Zuma, Malema.  Make no mistake; he is as disliked as his nemesis.  Most intellectuals will agree that his ideals are deranged and dangerous.  Whipping up fervour of the poor and disillusioned black youth, with fantasies of farms, banks full of money, Range Rovers and white women, he has garnered a million plus support base.  His most rousing statement – we will take it.  Without a doubt, politics has got soap opera whipped.  Who would have thought, the man that vowed to kill and die for Zuma, would be the ultimate thorn in his flesh.  Indeed, Julius will review the Nkandla report in parliament.

Sure, there has been no knight in shining armour for the educated middle class.  No rational Barack Obama, saying yes we can, and winning the election.  But hey, I guess the middle class will take the next best thing: Julius the Slayer.  Let the two ego maniacs hound each other. 

They certainly deserve each other, don’t you think?

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