Firstly, I am not an Oscar fan. In fact, I lost all respect for the guy after his bad-loser reaction during the London Paralympics when the Brazilian athlete beat him in the 200m.
However, I am drawing no conclusions at this stage that Oscar is lying to protect himself. Here are the 3 most important points in my opinion.
1. He admitted to shooting her. Surely Oscar would have been in a (financial) position to flee the country or go into hiding straight after the murder, should it have been intentional. There were no witnesses, he could have hidden the guns & various evidence. A counter argument would be that he went through a flash of madness & rage when he shot her. Surely, if he was obsessed with himself so much, he would have gotten rid of the evidence first and then would have come up with some sort of a story. Lets not forget that apparently the bullets (or even the gun) did not belong to him, so this would have been the first thing he could have gotten rid of. He could have put his blades on and made as if he came running from the bush or backyard and fabricated that he saw intruders outside, and was chasing them when he heard the shots.
2. There are rumours about Reeva being fully clothed when he shot her. If this is true, then OP obviously has a big problem, as this would indirectly confirm them having argument and her wanting to leave. However, if it were true that Reeva was scared & wanted to leave (ie. was fully dressed), why would she make a stop to go to the loo? Surely she would have wanted to get out of the house as quickly as possible, knowing that Oscar would not be able to catch up with her on his stumps.
3. Oscar states that he heard the bathroom door slammed closed. This is what triggered him to go there. Why would Reeva slam the bathroom door shut? This could point to an argument as well.
These are 3 vital points, together with the reasons to why Reeva did not once reply (scream or whisper) whilst Oscar was shouting for her to call the cops.
All other pointers are circumstantial – position of the fans, position of cricket bat, position of door splinters, arguments via sms or whatsapp etc. Both the prosecution as well as the defense can play these factors into their favour, with their respective group of specialist witnesses.
Could this really have been an accident?
Yes it could.
I have shot through my bathroom door before as well. I heard strange noises at night a few years ago, and went into a complete trance-like defensive mode. I also keep my gun next to my bed, as a family member was murdered whilst asleep many years ago. I did not wake my wife, and am not even sure if I checked if she was there. I did shout (HEY, who’s there) when I got to the bathroom, which had the door closed but not locked in. I then shot twice when I heard the noise again. Luckily I heard a familiar “screaming” noise afterwards from our cat, which caught a bird outside and jumped through the bathroom window & was playing with it.
I cannot explain the emotions I went through, as I was only focused on what happens next and what could happen to my family and myself. I did not take notice about clothes lying around, toys lying around…I was just focused on any movement at the time.
As mentioned, I am not saying that Oscar is innocent but people should not underestimate the level of tension & concentration one goes through when in fear that they are in danger. I have yet to meet someone who will be chilled and relaxed when they believe that their house is being broken into. We read about such murders (by intruders) on a daily basis, so yes I do blame the crime rate in SA for such behavior (in my case).
At the end of the day, I think that the state will not be able to provide enough hard evidence that Oscar shot Reeva knowing that she was behind the door. Nel probably knows this and his only chance is to crack Oscar, and try to wind him up to a level of self-doubt and anger.
This is just my view. I am one of you, not one of the big stars of this episode.
Am looking forward to your reactions.