MyNews24 is a user-generated section of News24.com. The stories here come from users.

RufusOSmit

Article views: 2227

This article has been selected as an Editor’s Choice report. Articles are selected based on quality of writing, audience response, newsworthiness and originality, and is at the discretion of the MyNews24 editors.

## The Odds of Aliens

20 July 2012, 07:40

(Science, Mathematics and Religion Alert: What follows here was never intended to be a scientific paper; but merely light-hearted reasoning from a layman’s perspective, thus please refrain from developing an urge to pummel the author.)

Some people talk of an advancing planet supposedly inhabited by reptilian humanoids. Earthly humans love to question everything…so what are the chances of Alien life beyond Earth?

The odds of Alien life?! At this point in time, it remains impossible to attach a figure to this question, plain and simple. Nevertheless, instead of just abandoning the whole investigation, let us decide upon a figure ourselves and make some calculations from there. It should preferably be something quite preposterous.

Before we decide this, let us look at some everyday odds:  The odds of dying from a flesh-eating disease is roughly 1 in 1,000,000 (1 Million) and the chance of winning a 6-ball, 49-number Lottery is around 1 in 14,000,000 (14 Million). How then would odds of 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 sound? Absolutely absurd? Good, let us use these odds then.

At the odds of 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 (21 zeros) chance of Alien life beyond Earth, some amazing things materialize.

We do not yet possess a powerful enough telescope to see everything in our universe, yet scientists estimate the total amount of planets in our visible universe at around 6,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 (21 zeros). At our Alien odds, there should be at least 6 of these planets supporting some kind of humanoid life form. Our planet Earth currently supports around 7,000,000,000 (7 Billion) humans; a planet which is relatively young at 4,500,000,000 (4.5 Billion) years old compared to the estimate for the oldest planet in the visible universe at around 13,000,000,000 (13 Billion) years. After its 4.5 billion years of existence, Earth supports 6 billion humans, roughly working out to 1.5 persons per year. If we apply this to the oldest planet, then our Alien planets could well be supporting 20 billion inhabitants each, times 6, which gives us 120 billion Humanoid Aliens.

The earliest humanoid on Earth appeared around 3,200,000 (3.2 Million) years ago; however, some creatures made an even earlier entrance at around 570,000,000 (570 Million) years ago. Which allows our generalised calculations to convert our 120 billion humanoid Aliens into 21,000,000,000,000 (12 zeros) Alien Creatures.

Finally, on Earth there are an estimated 200,000,000 (200 Million) insects per every single human. Using the same formula on our Alien planets, the figure swells to about 4,200,000,000,000,000,000,000 (21 zeros) Insect-like Alien Creatures.

Thus, in conclusion, at the odds of 1 to 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 (21 zeros), the universe could be hosting 4,200,000,000,000,000,000,000 (21 zeros) Insect-like Alien Creatures. If we bring the odds up to 1 to 1, or a 100% certainty, then there should be at least one family consisting of 4 adult Aliens and 1 Alien kid out there for sure.

So the next time someone asks you whether you “believe in Aliens”, you can explain to them how the chance of finding an Alien family, happily going about their business somewhere beyond Earth, is really 14 Million times better than winning the lottery!

Get Published!
Disclaimer: All articles and letters published on MyNews24 have been independently written by members of News24's community. The views of users published on News24 are therefore their own and do not necessarily represent the views of News24. News24 editors also reserve the right to edit or delete any and all comments received.

24.com publishes all comments posted on articles provided that they adhere to our Comments Policy. Should you wish to report a comment for editorial review, please do so by clicking the 'Report Comment' button to the right of each comment.

Comment on this story
Comment 0 characters remaining

Get Published!

# Read more from our Users

Submitted by
MysticBoer
###### Gupta is not alone.

A report produced by the group 100Reporters.org stated that at least once a month, a private Airbus stops in Harare, Zimbabwe to fly rough diamond parcels out of the country. Read more...

Submitted by
Chriso
###### Tribal resurgence?

The growing voices that scream tribalism resurgence, others decrying 'Indian hegemony' and the concept of 'zulufication' of the society are all coming back like an avalanche nowadays. Read more...

Submitted by
JK01
###### The Debate and you

What has the debate done for you? Read more...

Submitted by
ruffieb
###### Warrior Women, the three Helens.

Looking at the news last week, I realized that SA has, in its darkest moments, often produced "warrior women", ironically linked by the name "Helen." Read more...

Submitted by
HamiltonTspoon
###### SANRAL ripping us off

In 2008 SANRAL started with Gauteng Freeway Improvement project, which is still on progress on the N12 in Boksburg side.  Read more...

Submitted by
lawUMK
###### Esselen Street

Exactly 1km long and hosting over 2000 (known) businesses, Esselen street is easily the uncovered ‘innovation hub’ of Gauteng.  Read more...

Latest Multimedia by News24 users
Get Published!

### Jobs[change area]

#### Courier Sales Executive

Durban
Communicate Cape Town IT
Market Related

#### EHS MANAGER

UnitedArabEmirates
Market Related

### Travel - Look, Book, Go!

#### Southern Sun - Maputo

Spend 3 nights and pay for 2 at Southern Sun - Maputo for only R4 621 per person sharing. Includes accommodation, return flights, airport taxes and airport transfers. Book now!

### Kalahari.com - shop online today

Buy Gordon Ramsay’s ultimate cookery course for just R368 and get Bokke Se Kombuis, valued at R180, for FREE! Offer valid while stocks last. Buy now!

#### Save on Bear Grylls survival tools!

Are you a grrrr rugged and manly man? Or looking for a gift for one? Check out these awesome Bear Grylls survival tools at great prices. Buy now!

#### Hot and exclusive Coby 7" wifi tablet – only R1299.95

Don’t miss out on this super hot deal of the week, save R300 on the Coby 7” tablet! Dispatched within 24hrs + free delivery. While stocks last. Buy now!

#### Up to 20% off all the hottest gaming pre-orders!

Get it while its hot! Save up to 20% on the hottest games on pre-orders including Grand Theft Auto 5, Fifa 14, Grid 2, Battlefield 4 and more. Pre-order now!

#### 20% off the latest music releases

Get 20% off hot new music releases, including To Be Loved by Michael Buble, Now 63, The 20/20 Experience by Justine Timberlake and many more. Offer valid while stocks last. Shop now!

### OLX Free Classifieds[change area]

#### Blackberry z10 (1 day old)

For Sale, Cell Phones - Accessories in South Africa, Gauteng, Johannesburg. Date May 13

#### Urgent Sale

Vehicles, Motorcycles - Scooters in South Africa, Gauteng, Johannesburg. Date May 13

#### Aupairs

Jobs, Au pairs & nannies in South Africa, Gauteng, Johannesburg. Date May 12

### services

RSS feeds News delivered really simply.

Mobile News24 on your mobile or PDA

E-mail Newsletters You choose what you want

SMS Alerts Get breaking news stories via SMS.

Blogs Your opinion on you, me and everyone.

Calais Website keywords automated by OpenCalais.

There are new stories on the homepage. Click here to see them.

English
Afrikaans
isiZulu

# Settings

Location Settings

News24 allows you to edit the display of certain components based on a location. If you wish to personalise the page based on your preferences, please select a location for each component and click "Submit" in order for the changes to take affect.