In my view, the primary reason these strikes and the violence have been allowed to happen, is ultimately to allow the formation of a new union and political party. The intent of which was hinted at on the news this morning.
The South African Socialist Party or similar.
The real question is, who is pushing the creation of this new party? I see two options.
1. Julius Malema & co
No king can really be king without a kingdom and subjects. It's simple GREED.
2. The ANC
Just as they have a support base with the SACP and Cosatu, they are also dependent on each of these key branches and subject to their desires. Each has become too powerful for the ANC to ignore, as has been seen over the past couple of years. By splitting these (ie. creating a new union and a new political party who will ultimately align with the ANC), they create an internal competition among their supporters, and can better manage/negotiate with each of them. (Would you like a Coke, Sprite, Stoney, Cream Soda or Water? At the end of the day, they all contribute to the Coca Cola company!)
I have little doubt that the Chinese are financial backers of each scenario, as regardless of the option, it is a political war with real impact for those miners, taxi drivers, and ANC/union minions on the ground that are acting as a private military without accountability nor consequence. Once the dust has settled, the Chinese will have much greater influence, control, and representation in SA. Reminiscent of when the Afrikaners promised various Bantu leaders trinkets and power over their tribes/kingdoms in exchange for land and the real wealth of SA.
Having said that, considering Motlanthe is already opening the door for Julius to "return" to the ANC, the above two options may really only be one.
I suspect that the end result outlined above is a foregone conclusion, and it is just a matter of time before it is a reality.
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