Johannesburg

Saturday

Sunny. Cool.

1°C
16°C

7 day forecasts
Chris Moerdyk

Recession lessons

2008-10-20 08:38

Chris Moerdyk

When the world gets clobbered by a financial crisis and countries head into a recession like suicidal lemmings, the immediate reaction of everyone from big business to the ordinary Joe in the street is to batten the hatches and hope like hell it will all pass quickly.

But when one looks back at history, it is quite remarkable how many companies and smart people looked for the opportunities and didn't just concentrate on the doom and gloom.

The last seriously punishing recession started in the USA in November 1973 and ran wild right through to March 1975. That was when people were hurling themselves out of stock exchange windows as the stock market crashed by almost 50%. Inflation went ballistic and here in South Africa in 1975, in a desperate effort to save petrol, the Government brought the speed limit on national roads and freeways down to 80kph.

But, some people and companies saw things differently and instead of just giving up they looked for opportunities. It was a lesson I learnt as a marketer and right now I am looking for opportunities just as I did way back in the 1970s when my little marketing business really started flourishing.

According to the US weekly, Advertising Age, Frederick Smith launched FedEx in 1973 as jet fuel prices were rocketing.

Bill Gates and Paul Allen started Microsoft in 1975. Think about it. In the middle of the worst recession since the great depression of the 1920s, Bill Gates decides that university degrees aren't for him so he bails out and decides to start his own computer software company.

Lessons

Everything was supposed to be wrong. How can one not have a university degree? How can two youngsters possibly start a new business at the worst possible time?

Bill Gates and Paul Allen taught us all a monumental lesson.

Anything is possible at anytime if you just believe in it and yourself enough.

As US inflation hit 11% in 1974, consumers started buying cheaper products and tried food alternatives such as soy-meat. They stocked up on staples. General Foods rolled out economy-size packages. Freezer sales leapt 26% in 1974. This helped set the stage for a retail innovation: Price Club, a membership warehouse chain similar to our Makro.

Interest-bearing cheque accounts made their debut in banks. Pioneering supermarkets began accepting credit cards.

Change in service

During the 1970s recession, Procter & Gamble rolled out Pringles chips and introduced a new washing detergent. US TV watchers laughed at Happy Days and Good Times. Leisure suits took off.

And then an ad executive imported 24 tons of rocks from Mexico, invented the pet rock and became a millionaire.

I'm not for a minute suggesting you chuck up your day job and go it alone right now. Not unless you are a real entrepreneurial type with oodles of self-belief.

But what does apply to everybody is not to let the doom and gloom get to you. Its times like these that build character, that distracts us from pettiness and that builds relationships and family unity.

It stops businesses from taking consumers for granted and makes them start giving them value for their money.

And service.

Send your comments to Chris.

Disclaimer: News24 encourages freedom of speech and the expression of diverse views. The views of columnists published on News24 are therefore their own and do not necessarily represent the views of News24. News24 editors reserve the right to edit or delete any and all comments received.

- News24

Comments have been closed for this article.

Pierre Brink 10/20/2008 9:34:05 AM
do not commit suicide, it is a myth.
Boersen 10/20/2008 9:42:55 AM
Well said. Now how do we get this current government to stop their petty squabbles, attachment to socialist/communist idea and start supporting those who look for opportunities.
KoosS 10/20/2008 9:52:22 AM
For the first time Warren Buffet is buying shares for his personal portfolio, up to now it has only consisted of bonds. And he's 84..... As he says, fear when the others are greedy, be greedy when the others are fearful.
Dirty Frank 10/20/2008 10:12:56 AM
This column advances the classic fallacy of Argument By Example: take a few examples, and attempt to show that it is the norm. I'm sure there were many people in 1975 that dropped out of college and did NOT become millionaires, instead they became poor under-achievers who looked at their decision with regret. Of course, we never hear about them - they never get to publish autobiographies and make the cover of Time magazine.
FOTA 10/20/2008 10:24:39 AM
The point of the article was PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY, not just another jab at someone else who should be doing something to rescue you. Best you hang on to your job, in your own business you actually have to do something instead of just apportion the blame. There are many people who have started their own businesses since 1994 and are doing just fine. And before you bleat that they are all black/BEE, you are wrong. There are many reasons why you cannot, you just need 1 reason to start.
Deano 10/20/2008 10:39:12 AM
Good Article. Points out that as long as you keep your head, you can still "make gold out of mud" if you put your mind to it. Chances are though that it will be dragged down by people that will want to have a morning moan.
Hansie 10/20/2008 11:55:28 AM
I am using this bad times to cash in on some nice deals. i just bought a brand new Toyota Hilux 3.0 D4D double cab with all extras at a discount of R45k! and the best part is that I got primus minus 3!! There are some good things in all of this. this recession won't last for longer than a year from today and housing will go up again. The reason is that I was responsible during the low interest months and never borrowed becaused I knew it would go up. Now interest rates will be coming down again.
jfky 10/20/2008 12:13:34 PM
Well written. Opportunities are there for everyone. Use it or loose it...
chris 10/20/2008 12:22:17 PM
We made the best of the AA situation and moved to australia instead believing that it was a comunist plot to eliminate us ... who needs a recession to get going
Dealer 10/20/2008 12:49:55 PM
Hamsie, bad news pal, your great discount has nothing to do with recession. There is a new hilux emminent, in fact it will be on sale from 1 November. And the rate is on scheme via Toyota and Wesbank

inside news24

Cpt: 13-16°C Showers early. Afternoon clouds. Cool. Pta: 4-20°C Sunny. Refreshingly cool.
Jhb: 1-16°C Sunny. Cool. Bloem: 3-18°C Sprinkles late. More sun than clouds. Cool.
Dbn: 15-26°C Sunny. Pleasantly warm. PE: 15-22°C Sprinkles late. Afternoon clouds. Mild.
7 day forecasts...
Western Cape Eastern Cape Kwazulu Natal Gauteng

Tembisa - 15:38:00 PM Accident blocking the right hand lane between the R25 Bapsfontein Road and the Engen One-Stop complex More traffic reports...

Cape Town - Here are the winning Lotto numbers from the Wednesday, July 8 draw.

7, 10, 21, 30, 37, 39 Bonus 8

Lotto Plus: 2, 5, 14, 16, 19, 44 Bonus 23

SMS the word Lotto to 31222 to get lotto numbers sent directly to your phone.
 
More lotto numbers...

Jobs - Find your dream job

Sales Director

KwaZulu Natal
The Unlimited World

Java Developer

Western Cape - Cape Town
Quiglies Solutions

Snr. Developer

Western Cape - Cape Town
BDCE Staffing Solutions
R30,000-40,000 Per MonthMarket Related Negotiable

Cars - Search 1000's of new and used cars

AUDI

A4’s From R199 000

VOLKSWAGEN

New Golf GTI From R317 300

TOYOTA

Corolla 1.4 Professional
2008
139900

FORD

Ranger 3.0TDCi Hi-Trail D-Cab XLE Dsl PU MY07
2009
335000

PEUGEOT

307 SW XS 2.0 Estate
2004
94900

Property - Find a new home

MOOIKLOOF

Single Residential 11,200,000

KLEINBRON ESTATE

Single Residential 2,250,000

PARADYSKLOOF

Single Residential 4,250,000

Travel - Look, Book, Go!