Real chance of losing 2010

11/07/2008 09:52

Tumo Mokone

The discourse around the 2010 Soccer World Cup is beginning to sound more and more ominous by the day, with Fifa president Sepp Blatter increasing the tempo on his pronouncements about alternative plans for hosting rights.

South Africa won the hosting rights four years ago. Billions of rands have already been spent on building the facilities and the infrastructure, while the private sector and individual business people have borrowed and spent money preparing for the showpiece. Therefore, it is only fair that SA retains its status as the host, right?

Naturally yes, but Blatter and his executive have the final say. As much as we continue to push forward with the preparations, we can also expect the worst from Zurich. Fifa is not a charity organisation, and it will dare both heaven and the devil to protect its most prized asset - the Soccer World Cup.

A lot has changed about the country since that momentous day when Blatter triumphantly announced that South Africa would become the first African country to host the tournament. The political leadership was solid and the economy just right. But the impasse created by two centres of power has since ushered in a period of uncertainty over security. The personal safety of South Africans in their own country is progressively deteriorating to new lows.

Shocking stories

The recent murderous attacks on African immigrants pointed to a breakdown in security. The mobs gathered and marched, and yet police could not prevent the attacks. The intelligence services said they couldn't see it coming. The political thuggery characterised by fights within the ruling party and the daily bombing of ATMs has also attracted new notoriety for SA.

Crime is not unique to SA. It is its form and thrust that make South Africans tell shocking stories about personal experiences, which include the killing of loved ones in their homes. The statistics indicate this horror, but even more disturbing is that the stats are hiding something more sinister: the real level of lawlessness. Many acts of anti-social behaviour border on criminality and yet these have become excusable, and therefore go unreported and unpunished.

The South African society today demands a higher level of policing, but it is impossible to have a police officer to guard every corner of public space. The minibus taxis regularly skip red robots or drive in opposite lanes, city streets are not safe, and with women being victims of all sorts of harassment. The law says no trading or begging at stop streets or around traffic lights, but it is habitually ignored and many motorists have heart-rending stories about surprise attacks on them.

Fifa is watching all these with keen interest. Soccer fans from all over the world must walk these streets and use the same taxis in the cities where World Cup matches would be taking place. It sounds unfair that the country must come under such scrutiny from Fifa, when the Cricket and Rugby World Cups where played here in the past. But the truth is there is a huge difference - the Fifa Soccer World Cup is a bigger deal than the other two tournaments combined.

Dangerous character

While the talk about Plan B gains momentum, Fifa's secretary general Jerome Valcke visited the country this week. He said he was impressed with the progress, especially with the flagship stadium, Soccer City, at Nasrec. Of course the stadium is impressive, but Valcke's compliment could mean anything. The onus is on the local organising committee to communicate their progress; it will help lift the sagging morale.

As for Blatter it is anybody's guess what he is thinking right now. For my part I don't really trust the eccentric and yet cunning little man. But somewhere between his eccentricity and cunningness lies a very dangerous character trait that can make or break South Africa's hope.

But if we lose hosting rights then we must be ready to share the blame. We have allowed the noble factors that won us the hosting rights to crumble right in our own hands.

  • Tumo writes exclusively for Sport24.

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    COMMENTS

    Johan says: Real chance of losing 2010
    11/07/2008 10:08
    Spot on - excellent article !!!

    Jakes says: Fair comments
    11/07/2008 10:23
    Tumo, your article is very interesting and I agree with you. SA is in real danger of losing the World Cup. Has this ever happened before to a country? Mu advice to tourists would be to stay away. The lawlessnes in this country is catching up. The government spent billions on a white elephant like the world cup, instead of spending it on poverty, housing, infrastructure, electricity, police, healthcare, education. SA cannot handle a tournament of this magnitude and it will cost us more than just money.

    LUZUKO says: could't agree more
    11/07/2008 10:42
    just to quote from what Tumo said "But if we lose hosting rights then we must be ready to share the blame. We have allowed the noble factors that won us the hosting rights to crumble right in our own hands." its realy true, we have let ourselves down, through denial and negligence as well as incompetence, we now look like any other African state realy sad neh

    ababuje junior says: security beefing
    11/07/2008 10:44
    Security personnel (police,private security,intelligent agencies) are needed to be beeffed up and provided with necessary working tools. Community, ideal hands must be assisted in finding solution to organised crime in their environs.

    Lidz says: no worries
    11/07/2008 10:44
    as a person who belive that S.A can host any event unless there are hidden agendas that we might no know that can stand in our way to host the biggest event in the world.

    RYAN says: NEVER
    11/07/2008 10:45
    THE WORLD IS JUST PANICKING BECAUSEITS THE FIRST TIEM THE FIST WORLD CUP HERE

    Dee says: Losing 2010
    11/07/2008 10:46
    Politics, the economy and security have been on a downward spiral over the past few months. The recent debacle with the xenophobic attacks has not helped our cause. I think that we are in very real danger of losing out on hosting the 2010. And there is nobody to blame except ourselves - including the Government for doing nothing about any of it.

    Stuart Hall says: 2010 slipping away
    11/07/2008 10:49
    Well written Tumo. Gone are the days when people can stand and expect handouts. We as a nation need to take back what is rightfully ours, we need to stop the thuggery, car jacking and other violent crimes before we should even think that we are ready for the World Cup. We need to start now, and have that way of thinking from now , leading up to world cup and way into the future. I was one of those people who was conscribed to the Army, and spent many months patrolling, in those days, the townships surrounding the CBD. Albeit was in the height of the apartheit era, but the people were quite happy in a sense that we were patrolling the townships and keeping crime to a minimum. Why does the Government not implement conscription once again. Firstly the Army could aide the police force, secondly it would provide a large portion of the population some form of employment, even if it is only for a year, and thirdly there is already a need for personel in the armed forces and conscription could give the public a choice of whether or not to continue a career in the Armed Forces. The country already has a vast number of army bases which are under utilised, why not build up an army to protect its our nation and our visitors from the minority of hoodlums who are terrorising us.

    Themba says: Great article
    11/07/2008 10:57
    Couldn't agree more with you.

    Chris-T says: Not quite
    11/07/2008 10:58
    While there may be truth in what you've said, most if it misses the point entirely. Too much is being said abt change in political leadership but it's still the same party and they share the same enthusiasm about the WC. Any event in SA is susceptible to crime and organisers go an extra mile to ensure the safety of visitors. We've heard security plans abt 2010 and people seem not to believe the LOC - I wonder why. FIFA has expressed satisfaction a million times abt the building progress, but still poeple don't believe it, why? The only thing at play here is the lack of promotion and vigorous marketing of the event and progress to primarily South Africans to address any doubts. LOC must not wait for criticism and only react to it. They must be pro-active in communication, conduct drills, fly adverts, visit communities etc! That gap is currently filled by doubts and pessimism and these guys think patriotism will address it. Well it doesn't!

    Justin Barnard says: Other world events
    11/07/2008 11:01
    in the article Tumo talks about South Africa Hosting both the Cricket and Rugby world cups. I agree with him that the Soccer world cup is a much bigger event, but it takes excactly the same preperation as the other two tournaments. So why was the other two events such huge succes back then, but we can't even stick to a schedule for development today? I can tell you why, it's because the goverment isn't governing the country right anymore, they only worry about their personal gain...

    Ingrid says: I dont understand
    11/07/2008 11:04
    When did humanity die? I dont understand the savage, destructive nature of people in this country. It scares me that so many people seem to have lost the value of life. Good article Tumo, its unfortunate you have to write it though.

    kwk says: weighing options
    11/07/2008 11:06
    Tumo, it takes courage to say these things that u r saying.Blatter will, for the time being, defend FIFA's decision to host in SA coz his re-election depends on it.However,if a reasonable chance of catastrophe looms, he will settle for the much smaller embarrasment of changing venues.If that happens we will have only ourselves to blame.

    H says: Well written
    11/07/2008 11:12
    You're a good journalist Tumo. A really well written and level article. Nothing alarmist in there, just stating the facts.

    Sydney says: Share the blame ?
    11/07/2008 11:16
    Share the blame ? I don't think so. Just remember, not everyone was in support of bringing the WC to SA. If it fails for the reasons you mention above, the blame can only be placed at the door of the divided ANC government, who have failed in the key areas of safety and policing. Should SA lose the WC, the government would have squandered billions, which could have been spent on service delivery and improving the plight of the poor. Instead they'll plough ahead, blame apartheid and enact legislation like to new expropriation bill, to further divide the country. Not to mention the impact all of this will have on the international community?s perception of South Africa. The really sad thing for me, is that the electorate will keep the ANC in power, regardless of its failings, for no other reason than not knowing any better. No wonder education is so far down the Government?s list of priorities (and I?m not talking spending here, I am talking real reforms), because God forbid people started to understand what they were voting for and started opposing the ANC Government ? It would be Zimbabwe all over again. The people who should share the blame are all those who vote ANC in the first place. Yes I am white, yes have immigrated, and yes it doesn?t really affect me one way or the other. But NO, I am not a racist. In fact I still hope that SA will be able to host a successful WC, to the benefit of all South Africans. However, should the dream turn into a nightmare, people need to be held accountable at all levels of decision making, from the electorate through to the president. Good luck.

    Charl says: Failure
    11/07/2008 11:20
    Hey guys - just let white people take control of the sinking ship and you'll se your World Cup - thats not being racist, just honest.

    konstabel says: afro-pessimism
    11/07/2008 11:21
    I really never believed in it, but now it I am absolutely convinced that the term "afro-pessimism" is a very real force in the world. We are experiencing it right here and right now. World powers like the Brits, Aussies and some other Europeans are now showing their true colours and I find it disgusting. We are ahead of preparations compared to Germany, yet these countries are hellbent on trying to discredit SA's effort. The political infighting is no less an issue here than it was in Germany before the WC was held there. Sure, there are issues to deal with (read crime), but these issues are completely blown out of proportion by a few people that would so dearly like to see SA fail. Sadly, a lot of these people that would like to see SA fail are nowadays SA expats. As in the past, our only option is to show the world that we aren't just some backward African state somewhere down there in darkest Africa. We have done it before, and I am sure we will do it again, come 2010 and beyond.

    Stefan says: taken
    11/07/2008 11:26
    Personally, as much as I love my country, I think the removal of the FIFA world cup soccer tournament from SA shores will be the best thing for us...it will be the WAKE UP call this country needs!

    AB says: PLEASE
    11/07/2008 11:38
    I do admite with regards to the problem faced by our country.It is sad that these big organizations are control by Europeans,China is torturing a nation and many people throughout the world have condemn that,but nothing was said with China losing the Olympic...Sometimes one wonder why S.A should suffer from hosting the world cup..We have already hosted big events in the world but still people even South Africans themselves still doubts our ability...Ask IRB,CAF,ICC if it is worhty it taking the world cup to S.A..Bringing it on,we will prove to the world..

    nito says: hell no!!
    11/07/2008 11:40
    no one will take the 2010 SWC away from afrika, we won the rights, this is just a strategy to push local commitee to have tight securyty, nad Tumo [pls stop selling SA to europe, people say the world is watching, who is the world? Afrika is part of the world as well as SA crime is every where in the wolrd, until Jesus come back it'll be there. europe has their own skeletons as well. the cup will be here come 2010 and will satay in afrika after the event. hola

    Michael Jacoby says: real chance of losing world cup
    11/07/2008 11:41
    was bound to happen. we are the laughing stock of the world. Even Zimbabwe would've done a better job!!!

    Percy says: Great insight!!!
    11/07/2008 11:43
    The blame should be borne by the ruling party. Every fabric of our society is disintegrating right under our noses. There's unusual "tolerance" of lawlessness by by presenting misleading crime stats. Political risk is very high, with infighting within the ANC, the judiciary is now politically challenged. How far ready are we to stage such an event wtih all the question marks on virtually everything?

    Zack says: 2010 WC
    11/07/2008 11:44
    When Sa won the world cup, a lot of people were against this event taking place here. What Tumi is saying is not new. Other than xenophic attacks, the only other thing that has changed is the declining economic situation resulting from a combination of power problems and the general world slowdown. What the LOC failed from the beggining was to get a strong PR team and to ensure that the Govt guarantees co-ordination with all law enforcement entities to make this country safe and its citizen law-abiding. This may well be what will lose us the WC.

    Tebza says: Wake up!!!!!
    11/07/2008 11:47
    This country is not full of saints, just like any other country. We have been bombarded by negative publicity from our nation's media, and I must say anyone reading our media would react negatively. Anything bad that happens, the media screams about our potential of losing 2010. If we don't believe in ourselves, do we expect FIFA to believe in us?? Our media had an impact in us winning the world cup by reporting positive things, when negative things were still happening. And I believe they will be responsible when we loose the rights by always reporting bad things, whereas there are good things happening out there. Freedom of press comes with responsibilities.

    gert says: 2 blame
    11/07/2008 11:49
    When sa loses the 2010 world cup it will be the fault of the international community because they are racists

    Lesego says: Nonsense
    11/07/2008 11:51
    Tumo, once again someone who seems to believe everything happens in a day. Yes we have crime and yes we have many socio-economic ills to address BUT 2010 is 2 years away...a lot can and will happen in the period till then. Have you taken a drive to FNB Stadium lately? All the construction vehicles on our roads etc etc. No country is perfect, Germany has no-go areas for black people in the last world cup. We have so much to be grateful for in this country and pessimistic people who bring no solutions or alternative ideas aren't helping. It's called Football, not soccer (that's what Americans and Australians call it).

    Dan says: Spoken like a poet
    11/07/2008 11:54
    Sad but true. This is exactly where we are today. What goes around comes around. My guess is the 2010 soccer world cup will not happen here and safety will be the stated reason fanned by many other less publicised reasons. Unless of course this government gets up from its backside and do something about crime.

    Diski says: WC
    11/07/2008 11:56
    Fair article but clouded with skeptism. This tournament will take place in SA no matter what it takes to be successful. All threats raised in the article can and will be dealt with in the crunch. Blatter's statement is only a wake up call. There's too much at stake for SA and the continent

    William says: 2010 gone!!
    11/07/2008 11:57
    I agree wholeheartedly with Tumo. I was at the lion park on Sunday, 2 metres from the guy that was gunned down. I saw him die and there was nothing I could do to help him. My 4 year old daughter and a tourist friend had to hide under the tables. It's too late to bring crime under control. The World Cup is lost already. We've passed the point of no return because the government refuses to panic. If the president can say that there is no reason to panic about the situation in Zimbabwe, then he clearly would like to see more bloodshed in SA before he does anything meaningful to stem the tide of this crime wave everybody else can see!!!

    Ravin says: Govt needs to wakeup
    11/07/2008 12:00
    Govt officials are all corrupted and cannot even safeguard the local people. Violent crime has increase so much that there is no meaning to life anymore in SA. People are killed every day and it seems that criminals are winning all the time. Police staff are corrupted and also are part of the criminals making our belovered country a lose lose situation. Why is it so difficult for the govt to see what is really happening and really do something about it. It seems like no one really cares no matter how much is said.

    Wishing the WC away says: SA has been duped
    11/07/2008 12:01
    In a situation where the country could ill afford the extravagances of a soccer WC, the nation still fervently supported it. Why? We were manipulated into it by our collective vanity. To the benefit of a few and the detriment of the country.

    Harry says: Ag nee man!!!
    11/07/2008 12:05
    I am so tired of this k@k, are we this unsure of ourselves as a nation or has 2010 just become a catch all for anyone that would like to highlight a negative element of life in SA. If you think that SA's interests are not protected by a contract thicker than the bible then you are living in cloud coocooland.

    Weshton says: Amazed
    11/07/2008 12:09
    Danny Jordaan was quoted recently stating that the only way FIFA can take the world cup away is in event of a natural disaster. They have signed a contract to this effect. Stop being so negative and looking for the worst in everything. Be positive and give support for this great nation and the people organising the worlds biggest sporting tournament.

    jack says: poor technical team and poor management
    11/07/2008 12:15
    i m concern abuot our management and technical team. How can you hre some one then immediately gave him a leave.chantinng forward after Sepp Blatter introduce an envelope evryone was happy but later what i realise he said after is in brazil because they good football so the point may he saw South Africa is struggling.

    Vundla says: Well said
    11/07/2008 12:15
    Well written and thoroughly balanced and unemotional article. No rhetoric. Excellent journalism, and quite factual. A breath of fresh air, for a change!

    Darryl says: Are we inherently pessimistic
    11/07/2008 12:16
    I must agree with the article which Tumo has written. I just wonder whether South African and our inherent pessimistic outlook is not playing a part here - I mean 'surely South Africa is NOT capable of hosting such a large and important event right? ....Right?' I must disagree though as we are more than capable and we need this to work as it will really and truly change SA & Africa forever as the world will see that we are actually not backwards and incapable.

    Shawn Lynch says: World Cup
    11/07/2008 12:18
    Justing, I can tell you why they cant get the Soccer World cup right here. To many blacks envolved. Corrupt, greedy, backhanding Africans is the only problem we have here in South Africa. Bring back Apartheid

    Thapelo Motaung says: loosing hosting rights
    11/07/2008 12:24
    The is a lot of devil ambassadors on South African land,short sighted idiots who think committing crime is not a sign. These are people who must be stoned to death before 2010 world cup tournament, because they will cost us.South Africa can not afford to have a soccer fan brutally murdered during the 2010 soccer tournament. So if these hooligans will still be dwelling in our communities by 2010, then i say Blatter and his side kicks can carry on and just give the hosting rights to another country, where people's safety is prioritized.

    swaer says: Everything is declining!
    11/07/2008 12:34
    Not only is the value of our currency declining as foreign investors pull out but everything else surrounding us! Certainly some things will be ready for WC2010 such as ORT and most stadia but I have become ashamed of our country when all we read and experience is BAD nowadays. ANC Govt will not be able to turn the present situation around, they have let it slip too far. Take Brazil for instance where it took years to make part of that country presentable and safe for visitors - our rotten Govt may have the will to do something about the situation but they certainly will not have the plan or the right people, guaranteed! My prediction... the poorest World Cup presented by a country in decades and the laughing stock of the world - that is, if plan B is not introduced by FIFA?

    Mark says: To Jake
    11/07/2008 12:41
    Yes, a country has lost the World Cup hosting rights before. Colombia lost the 1986 World Cup due to political instability and crime. Mexico was a last-minute replacement venue.

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