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'There will be aftershocks'
12/05/2008 20:16  - (SA)  

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  • Earthquake toll above 8 600
  • China: history of deadly quakes
  • Thousands killed in China quake
  • 900 feared buried after quake
  • Buildings evacuated after quake
  • Quake strikes western China
  • Beijing - The violent quake that shook China's Sichuan province on Monday is linked to a shift of the Tibetan plateau to the north and east, specialists at the Paris Institute of Earth Physics told AFP.

    "There will certainly be many aftershocks," commented Paul Tapponnier, an expert on tectonics in the region that is prone to earthquakes.

    The quake, with a magnitude of 7.8, struck close to densely populated areas of Sichuan province and was felt across a swathe of southeast Asia.

    China's state-run Xinhua news agency quoted local disaster relief officials as saying 3 000 to 5 000 people were estimated to have died in just one district of Sichuan, Beichuan County.

    Earthquakes were frequent and deadly along the fringes of the Tibetan Plateau, which was raised when India collided into Eurasia, starting some 50 million years ago.

    'A very complex geology'

    "Tibet is being pushed to the east. It is straddling southern China and locally the Sichuan basin," said Tapponier.

    The quake that emanated in the Longmenshan margins of the Tibetan plateau "has a very complex geology", said Robin Laccassin, director of the tectonics department at the Institute.

    "There are many major fault lines... Some are ancient and they probably broke," said Laccassin.

    The deadliest earthquake to rock the Tibetan plateau in the 20th century was in 1920 when 230 000 people died in Gansu province.

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