News24

A defining moment for ANC - analyst

2011-11-10 20:04

Johannesburg - Analysts were impressed on Thursday by the ANC's "defining" move to axe youth league leader Julius Malema and senior members of his organisation.

"The ANC now have the opportunity to turn the clock back, to put the genie back in the bottle," said political analyst Susan Booysen.

Economist Chris Hart said: "It looks like a very defining moment."

Judith February, head of Idasa's political monitoring unit, said most people had expected some "lightly, lightly" approach from the ANC's national disciplinary committee (NDC).

"This sends a strong message around issues of discipline, obviously in the context of the larger democratic context of South Africa."

Malema, his spokesperson Floyd Shivambu and the league's top officials were sanctioned on Thursday to various periods of suspension for breaching rules of the ruling party's constitution.

Overdue


Malema and Shivambu were suspended for five years and three years respectively.

They were ordered to vacate their positions for bringing the party into disrepute and for sowing divisions, because of public statements they made.

Booysen said the disciplinary measures were "probably overdue".

"From around 2005 that has been the way we do politics in South Africa," she said.

"It was probably overdue, but then it was also tolerated for such a long time."

Booysen said the ruling also brought clarity to relations between the ANC and the ANCYL, and the ANC and its tripartite alliance partners the Congress of SA Trade Unions and the SA Communist Party.

Political incoherence


People with political aspirations would have to be careful, she said.

Hart saw the committee's pronouncements as the first steps towards political coherence in the ruling party.

The ANCYL appeared to be behaving like an opposition party, making it look as though there was a level of political incoherence in the ANC.

The committee's decision would ultimately be good for the ANC because it would get its coherence back, Hart said.

There had been a huge amount of uncertainty regarding nationalisation, with the debate driven by the ANCYL, said Hart who is chief strategist at Investment Solutions.

The rand firmed slightly at the time of the announcement, but this probably had more to do with a possible resolution of the Italian financial crisis than the Malema effect.

Despite all the "political material", said Hart, political utterances in South Africa seemed to be disconnected from the financial markets.

Zuma emboldened

They did, however, have effects in the long term on potential investors.

February said the violent protests in Johannesburg in August, when the disciplinary hearings started, would have made many people in the ANC think things had gone too far.

President Jacob Zuma would also be emboldened by the decision.

"The ANC occupies such an important space in our political life that it is an important message to send out that that kind of behaviour would not be tolerated."

However, she cautioned against just focusing on an individual such as Malema.

"It is an important and serious step by the NDC, but it doesn't change the fact that there are divisions in the ANC... a constant tussle between those who understand the constitutional project, and a conservative right wing in the ANC who accumulate wealth," February said.

"Julius Malema is one figure in a panoply of figures. We can't look at an individual in isolation."

Comments
  • Malcolm - 2011-11-10 20:11

    The ANC have scored some points for sure. However, they still need to do much more to improve their image. Corruption, Cronism etc.

      mastersvoice - 2011-11-10 20:28

      I also think the next item on their agenda should be to ensure Zuma does not get another term as president of this country. He has done enough damage already and has failed to deliver on most of his promises.

      Bonga - 2011-11-10 20:39

      Malcolm you're spot on my friend, this has gain the ANC trust from its members. Yet again alot of work has to be done to eliminate corruption within the ranks of the party. Malema was proving to be a problem child that certainly needed a good hiding and that he got.

      Mike - 2011-11-10 21:02

      The ANC restored a lot of it's credibility with this action and clearly an act of strength, sending out a clear message. No doubt if you are an ANC supporter you should be proud to see that they don't take shyte. Now start doing more work and clean up to restore credibility. Since the reality is that the majority support them and it would be good for everyone if they got rid of the baggage and start doing what the were voted in to do.......run the place properly.

      John - 2011-11-11 18:22

      Is this ANC = Association of National Criminals, Abortion Murder and Genocide, crowd which tried to give Virodene = Benzene to 5 Million Aids sufferers? Attempted Genocide! Yes, same crowd. Zuma was there. Is this ANC = Association of National Criminals, Abortion Murder and Genocide, crowd which denied medical treatment to 5 Million Aids sufferers? Genocide! Yes, same crowd. Zuma was there. Is this ANC = Association of National Criminals, Abortion Murder and Genocide, crowd which has Killed 800 000 South African Babies by Abortion? Genocide! Yes, same crowd. Zuma was there. So what is different? The Europeans have dragged the USA into Libya: where there was no european population. Simply in Europe's sphere of influence, due to oil and illegal immigrants to Europe. 3 European countries were part of Codesa negotiations in South Africa, Britain, with France Mitterrand and Germany Schroeder supporting the ANC. To break the terms of Codesa agreement or spirit, such as a Judiciary subservient to the Executive, a non legal constitution, with 3 Conservative governments in Britain, France and Germany, while oppressing, exploiting and attacking legally, commercially, racially, european populations in South Africa, is not a good idea. It is looking for trouble, even if it just stops EU Aid to South Africa being stolen by ANC Stalinists. But Malema does not get European money. He does not understand. His brain does not reach that far, even if his greed does.

  • Stevie - 2011-11-10 20:16

    The guy is like syphilis. He may be gone for now but the virus will pop up again later.

      Mariam - 2011-11-11 18:02

      hmmm... an interesting way 2 view our current political state. As a true ANCYL "who is the VIRUS & who is the CURE"? to be cont.....

  • grobled - 2011-11-10 20:25

    He is going to start MNC (Malema Nationel Congres) - That is how he would spell it.

  • Grant - 2011-11-10 20:27

    My feeling is that this is just 'round one'.

      Mariam - 2011-11-11 18:03

      Same here!!! Let the REAL SHOW-DOWN begin!! VIVA!!

  • Kate - 2011-11-10 20:32

    I doubt we have heard the last of Malema. The backlash is yet to come. That Evil B*^**, Winnie is till at his side.

      Mariam - 2011-11-11 18:08

      Who is EVIL? each 2 their own opinion, that be the joy of FREEDOM of EXPRESSION!! PPl are discussing the CARBON FOOTPRINT have we ever discussed and FULLY comprehended the FULL efforts/ results of THE EVIL APARTHEID FOOTPRINT? Babes the root EVIL should be taken into account. WE ALL here in our RAINBOW NATION would luv 2 put everything behind us and "LIVE HAPPILY EVER AFTER"!! HOWEVER ppl are living in poverty!!

  • VusiMabaso - 2011-11-10 20:35

    "It is an important and serious step by the NDC, but it doesn't change the fact that there are divisions in the ANC... a constant tussle between those who understand the constitutional project, and a conservative right wing in the ANC who accumulate wealth," February said. So true. I'm pleased someone had the guts to say this, because it seems to me it is only us here on News24 that is forever harping on this.

      leerobbertse - 2011-11-10 23:08

      Vusi for ANCYL leader

  • Mike - 2011-11-10 20:36

    Also time for the ANC to disband the ANCYL and start acting like a responsible party that can govern properly.

      Grant - 2011-11-10 21:02

      Mike, it will only benifit SA if the ANC disbanded. Give Helen Zille and her lot a chance.

  • Madulla - 2011-11-10 20:53

    THE ANC HAS SPOKEN! This is what happens when a piglet takes on an elephant. Malema has stated that 'the gloves are off'. Well, the best that Malema can do is to shadow-box. He is no fighter, but a coward. Checking himself into a hospital to delay the inevitable and then disrespecting todays outcome with his no-show, proves his didain towards those in authority. Malema considered himself 'untouchable' but after today, no-one will want to touch him. This is what happens when you are disrepectful towards elders and are too big for your boots. Malema should have been sent to a juvenile delinquency centre where they could hopefully teach him some manners. His arrogant and defiant demeanor, even in the face of being found guilty, proves yet again that he is incorrigible. Let a new face emerge from within the ANCYL. Someone who shows tolerance and is respectful towards others. That person should be someone whom Nelson Mandela will be proud off.

  • Hat3d - 2011-11-10 21:00

    This is only one battle in the war for South Africa, YOUR beautiful country. Corruption, crime, racism, info bill, tolls, taxes, unemployment, blue light brigade... and most importantly the divided and very dangerous ANC. Don't fall asleep South Africa, get ready for the fight of YOUR children's lives!

  • Oneant - 2011-11-10 21:05

    who are these analysts? is that the catchall word for popular opinion? can someone say.. analyst j. blogs from xyz? nope. analyst. analyst. analyst. And you know what... its doesn't take an analyst to realize this. besides... the word analyst should be banned. its nasty. it borders on bedroom talk.

  • Burtfred - 2011-11-10 21:40

    Malema is like AIDS and BMW's You can't get rid of them.

      Mariam - 2011-11-11 18:10

      LMFAO

  • Jay - 2011-11-10 22:08

    Dear ANC, Great Leadership Sown by your NEC. Whilst the 5 years suspension period will take effect, please ensure that even during that time, the COUNTRY & ELECTORATE EXPECTS: 1) A Full SARS Audit into the ANCYL's Leadership's affairs 2) A Full Public Protector's investigation into the TENDERS awarded to linked Trust Accounts and associate's companies 3) A full investigation into certain leaked plans on what the ANCYL's Manguang Strategy to vring more divisions in the ANC 4) Get the ZIM Leaders and VENEZEULAN Leaders to come clean with the Official SA Govt about their involvement with the ANCYL 5)What about Julius Malema answering all the questions to the ANC NEC posed by FIONA FORD in her book, An Inconvenient Youth? Keep these Guilty ANCYL Leaders tied up in the LEGAL WEB that they have so trapped themselves in, until they become REDUNDANT POLITICALLY. I REST MY CASE

  • jgetzy - 2011-11-10 22:52

    i guess juju isnt going to heaven anymore!

  • Marks - 2011-11-11 08:09

    Anybody who thinks that Malema’s suspension is a long overdue master fix to the real problems is as far sighted as Stevie Wonder! Far too much fuss and credibility has been given to little Malema the “puppet clown” , who was nothing more than a “voice” of a disenchanted, uneducated masses, who yet still believe in land grabs and nationalization of business and the mines. Malema’s are a dime a dozen and there are literally millions to replace, hence the ANC’s pet dog, the ANCYL is still as rabid as ever. Right from as far back as the apartheid days the ANC deliberately involved the under aged youth in politics, in strikes, violence, marches and anything right up to and including pure criminal activities in their efforts to disrupt the then government. Today the pet dog they taunted into savagery is very much alive and well and now biting the original hand that fed it, with its uneducated and unrealistic demands, spawned by the original empty promises of its old Master. The real problem is only just beginning! To all the ANC, stop celebrating your “victory” and patting yourselves on the back, your rabidly savage pet is about to really start attacking anything and anybody including YOU!

  • Marks - 2011-11-11 08:10

    Anybody who thinks that Malema’s suspension is a long overdue master fix to the real problems is as far sighted as Stevie Wonder! Far too much fuss and credibility has been given to little Malema the “puppet clown” , who was nothing more than a “voice” of a disenchanted, uneducated masses, who yet still believe in land grabs and nationalization of business and the mines. Malema’s are a dime a dozen and there are literally millions to replace, hence the ANC’s pet dog, the ANCYL is still as rabid as ever. Right from as far back as the apartheid days the ANC deliberately involved the under aged youth in politics, in strikes, violence, marches and anything right up to and including pure criminal activities in their efforts to disrupt the then government. Today the pet dog they taunted into savagery is very much alive and well and now biting the original hand that fed it, with its uneducated and unrealistic demands, spawned by the original empty promises of its old Master. The real problem is only just beginning! To all the ANC, stop celebrating your “victory” and patting yourselves on the back, your rabidly savage pet is about to really start attacking anything and anybody including YOU!

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