EFF support grows as ANC loses momentum

2014-01-15 05:30
(Picture: Sapa)

(Picture: Sapa)

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Cape Town - Julius Malema’s belief that his EFF party will win the 2014 elections is way off base, according to a survey.

However, an October/November Ipsos survey on provincial political party support on moderate voter turnout, could see the EFF as official opposition in both Limpopo and North West.

In 2009 ANC managed to get 85.27% of the Limpopo votes, but the prediction for 2014 has dropped to 67.2%.

The EFF which was registered as a political party late last year, was predicted to garner 11.4% of the votes.

In the North West province 12.7 of participants in the survey said they would vote for the EFF, while the ANC has seen nearly a 10% drop in voters’ support.

Ipsos said Gauteng and the Northern Cape will be heavily contested between the ANC and the DA.

Premier candidate Mmusi Maimane on Monday said the DA’s polling showed the ANC support in Gauteng could drop to less than 50%.

He said the main reason for this decline was President Jacob Zuma.

In Zuma’s home province of KwaZulu-Natal more than one in every 10 participants (11%) refused to answer who they would vote for.

The survey showed that the ANC is also losing its grip on the Northern Cape.

In 2009 the DA received only 13.08% of the votes, but this time around, according to the survey, support in the province has grown to 45.9%.

The ANC received overwhelming support in Mpumalanga with 85.81% of the votes in 2009, but this number might dwindle to 63.4% in 2014.

Political analyst Daniel Silke told News24 the ANC will be happy if they can get 60% of the total vote.

Silke said on Monday the ANC election manifesto was more a political document designed to paper over the cracks in the alliance.

“"Whatever is now in the manifesto in written form needs to be put into practice with immediate effect. Actions speak louder than words.”

Ipsos said it had to be borne in mind that the survey was done before the death of former president Nelson Mandela, and that the next study, planned for early 2014, will yield more contemporary results.

A total of 3 564 interviews were done for the survey. Respondents were interviewed at home in their home language.

* Ipsos is a client-focused organisation providing research services to clients on a global basis.

Read more on:    da  |  anc  |  eff  |  mmusi maimane  |  politics  |  elections 2014
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