Zuma could be kicked out - Gumede

2012-08-06 18:00
Jacob Zuma (File, Sapa)

Jacob Zuma (File, Sapa)

Multimedia   ·   User Galleries   ·   News in Pictures Send us your pictures  ·  Send us your stories

Johannesburg - President Jacob Zuma could be ousted like his predecessor, Thabo Mbeki, if he is re-elected at the ANC’s conference in Mangaung in December.

His re-election could even split the party, political analyst and writer William Gumede has said.

Mbeki was ousted as president in 2008 by the ANC, nine months after Zuma was elected part president and a few months before the end of his term.

Gumede, whose book Restless Nation is set to be launched on Tuesday, spoke to businesspeople at a breakfast in Rosebank on Monday.

He said Zuma only seems to have support in three provinces – KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga and the Free State, and his position isn’t as secure as he would have liked.

Zuma also has divided support in the trade unions, and there might be strong enough support for his ousting a year or two after Mangaung.

Gumede also said some in trade unions who wanted to see government policies change, might be unhappy with Zuma’s re-election and lose patience. There is a chance that this group could split from the ANC.

He said because Zuma doesn’t have a convincing majority support, his lobbyists might try to convince or intimidate any possible opponents not to stand against him in December.

Another strategy could be to strike a deal with someone like businessman Cyril Ramaphosa, who would then become Zuma’s deputy in the party and president of the country.

Ramaphosa could also agree to soothe Zuma’s fears about losing his position, such as possible prosecution for corruption and loss of business for him and his family, Gumede said.

He said Deputy President Kgalema Motlanthe’s strategy was to convince people to support him on the basis of policy, not on the basis of his opposition to Zuma.

“Kgalema appears as someone who has no view, but he is saying to factions if you support me, it’s on my terms,” he said.

Motlanthe might step out of the way in Mangaung if the fight gets dirty, Gumede said. This would provide an opportunity for Housing Minister Tokyo Sexwale, who also has his eye on the presidency, to step up.

Tokyo’s tactic seems to be that he’ll fight hard and dirty like Zuma, and that he’s happy to stitch together his constituencies from people like the [ANC] Youth League and the unions,” Gumede said.

Analyst and author Daniel Silke, who also spoke at the event, said the positive about a second term for Zuma could be that he’d be more secure in his presidency, knowing that he cannot serve another term.

He would spend less time “looking over his shoulder” and could be more decisive, Silke said.

He said the debate in the ANC should really be around Planning Minister Trevor Manuel’s National Development Plan, and how it could be implemented.

“It is really sad for the country and the ANC that this wasn’t what the ANC’s policy conference was all about,” he said.

- Gumede’s book launch takes place at Exclusive Books in Hyde Park on Tuesday night.
Read more on:    anc  |  jacob zuma  |  william gumede  |  mangaung 2012  |  politics
SHARE:

Read News24’s Comments Policy

24.com publishes all comments posted on articles provided that they adhere to our Comments Policy. Should you wish to report a comment for editorial review, please do so by clicking the 'Report Comment' button to the right of each comment.

Comment on this story
190 comments
Add your comment
Comment 0 characters remaining
 

Inside News24

 
/Music
Traffic & Train Alerts
Traffic
Cape Town 18:17 PM
Road name: Wet Weather

RAIN across the Cape Town area - turn on headlights, reduce speeds and drive with care

Hout Bay 09:25 AM
Road name: Chapmans Peak Drive

WEDNESDAYS - STOP / GO controls between 10am and 3pm for Alien Vegetation Clearing - every Wednesday - weather permitting

Jobs in Cape Town [change area]

Property [change area]

Travel - Look, Book, Go!

Magical Massinga

Spend 5 nights at the gorgeous Massinga Beach Lodge in Mozambique and only pay for 4 from R13 220 per person sharing. Includes return flights, accommodation, transfers and romantic turndown. Book now!

Kalahari.com - shop online today

Save up to 30% off top fragrances

Get mind blowing savings on selected fragrances. Offer valid while stocks last. Shop now!

Up to 40% off fashion accessories

Save up to 40% on selected handbags, purses, watches, jewellery and more. Offer valid while stocks last. Shop now!

Save up to R2000 on top electronics

Get every day mind bowing savings on top electronics. Offer valid while stocks last. Shop now!

Save up to 50% on Women’s month treats!

Celebrate the awesome women in your life with awesome treats like beauty products, fashion accessories, bestselling books, electronics and more. Offer valid while stocks last. Shop now!

Up to 60% off - clearance sale!

Save up to 60% on appliances, books, electronics, toys, movies and more. Offer valid while stocks last. Shop now!

OLX Free Classifieds [change area]

Samsung Galaxy s4

Mobile, Cell Phones in South Africa, Western Cape, Cape Town. Date October 24

Best bargain in big bay

Real Estate, Houses - Apartments for Sale in South Africa, Western Cape, Cape Town. Date October 25

VW Golf 6, 1.6 Trendline (Excellent condition)

Vehicles, Cars in South Africa, Western Cape, Cape Town. Date October 25

Horoscopes
Aquarius
Aquarius

Today you may want to bond with your children and need to connect to your imaginative and playful side. It may be that you are...read more

There are new stories on the homepage. Click here to see them.
 
English
Afrikaans
isiZulu

Hello 

Create Profile

Creating your profile will enable you to submit photos and stories to get published on News24.


Please provide a username for your profile page:

This username must be unique, cannot be edited and will be used in the URL to your profile page across the entire 24.com network.

Settings

Location Settings

News24 allows you to edit the display of certain components based on a location. If you wish to personalise the page based on your preferences, please select a location for each component and click "Submit" in order for the changes to take affect.








Facebook Sign-In

Hi News addict,

Join the News24 Community to be involved in breaking the news.

Log in with Facebook to comment and personalise news, weather and listings.