Hillary for president? 3 reasons for and against

2014-06-13 10:38
Hillary Rodham Clinton. (Cliff Owen, AP)

Hillary Rodham Clinton. (Cliff Owen, AP)

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Washington - "I have to make the decision that's right for me and the country."

Hillary Clinton froze the 2016 White House race when she told ABC News she will likely wait until year's end to decide whether to try to succeed Barack Obama as president.

Here are three reasons why she should seek the highest US office, and three reasons not to.

1 Unmatched experience

"I don't think there's anybody in the country except former presidents who has her credentials", Vermont ex-governor Howard Dean, himself a 2004 presidential candidate, said.

Along with her 2001-2009 tenure in the US Senate and her four years as secretary of state, Hillary also rubbed shoulders with world dignitaries while she was first lady to husband Bill Clinton.

She has known German Chancellor Angela Merkel since 1994, and has negotiated with several heads of state, including Russia's Vladimir Putin and China's Hu Jintao.

Another advantage: President Clinton remains popular, with a 63% approval rating according to a recent ABC-Washington Post poll.

2 Best position

Rarely in recent decades has a prospective candidate been so far out front: more than 50 points ahead of hypothetical rival Democrats, and comfortably leading possible Republican challengers including president George W Bush's younger brother Jeb.

Karlyn Bowman, a public opinion analyst at the conservative think-tank American Enterprise Institute, recently published a study of Clinton's poll numbers since 1992.

She concludes Clinton's approval rating is showing exceptional durability.

"Her image is very positive and, in many ways, it's grown more positive over time", Bowman said.

3 Madame President

As a successor to 44 men, Hillary Clinton would make history by becoming the first female commander-in-chief. Since her defeat in the 2008 primaries, she has often repeated a political mantra of sorts: "break down that highest, hardest glass ceiling".

But Lara Brown, an associate professor at George Washington University, warns that voters generally don't make political choices based on gender.

"This is one of the great sorts of myths and falsehoods out there, that woman are able to attract women voters", Brown said. "Women vote for their political party over their gender."

1 A disputed record

"The Obama-Clinton foreign policy proved erratic and failed to deliver any signature diplomatic achievement", the anti-Hillary organisation America Rising wrote in an e-book unveiled on Tuesday that serves as a 140-page conservative counterattack.

Republicans have assailed Clinton for failing to deliver concrete results, calling her out for passivity during the 2009 protests in Iran, naivety with Russia, and inability to staunch the Syrian civil war or unlock stalled Israeli-Palestinian negotiations.

Her final grade: "F", according to a potential 2016 adversary, Senator Marco Rubio.

2 Benghazi

A video clip may well haunt her on the campaign trail, and it comes not from Libya but Washington.

Clinton faced a January 2013 grilling from senators demanding answers about what specifically triggered the 2012 attack that killed four Americans.

"Was it because of a protest, or was it because of guys out for a walk one night who decided they'd go kill some Americans?" an irritated Clinton testified.

"What difference, at this point, does it make?"

Republicans blamed the State Department for security shortcomings at US missions, conditions they argue contributed directly to the Libya tragedy.

A House select committee investigating Benghazi is likely to subpoena Clinton, who has denounced the probe as a charade.

3 Age a weakness?

Clinton turns 69 shortly before the 2016 election, Ronald Reagan's age when he became the oldest president-elect in 1980.

Republicans have implied Clinton's age and health are legitimate issues, especially since she suffered a concussion after a fall in late 2012.

Clinton insists her health is 100%. "My mother lived with us until her death at 92", she told ABC, as she pledged to release her health records should she become a candidate.
Read more on:    hillary clinton  |  barack obama  |  us
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