Democrats' path to Senate majority slipping away

2016-11-09 08:23
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton (Diedra Laird, Charlotte Observer via AP)

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton (Diedra Laird, Charlotte Observer via AP)

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Washington – Democrats' chances of retaking the Senate majority were slipping away on Tuesday as Republicans hung onto key seats in Wisconsin, North Carolina, Indiana and Florida.

Democrats grabbed a Republican-held seat in Illinois, but the outcome in Wisconsin was a surprise as both parties had expected it to flip for the Democrats. Wisconsin GOP Senator Ron Johnson's victory over former Democratic Senator Russ Feingold forecast a grim night for the Democrats, who could be consigned to minority status on Capitol Hill for years to come.

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Races in GOP-held Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Missouri remained too close to call as Republicans defended a slim 54-46 majority in an unpredictable election year.

Democrats would have to win all of those and hang onto Democratic-held Nevada to reach a 50-50 outcome, and could then only claim majority status if Democrat Hillary Clinton wins the White House. The vice president casts tie-breaking votes in the Senate.

As the night wore on, Democratic operatives struggled to explain why their optimistic assessments of retaking Senate control were so mistaken. Some were blaming FBI Director James Comey's bombshell announcement that he was reviewing a new batch of emails connected with Clinton for breathing life into GOP campaigns.

Senate Republicans, too, had feared they would have a bad night on Tuesday, and some were taken by surprise as they racked up win after win.

High hopes

In North Carolina, Democrats had high hopes of unseating entrenched GOP incumbent Senator Richard Burr, who infuriated even his own party with his laid back campaign style. But in the end he had little trouble holding off a challenge from Democrat Deborah Ross, a former state legislator and director of the North Carolina ACLU.

In Indiana, GOP Rep. Todd Young beat former Democratic senator and governor Evan Bayh, who mounted a much-ballyhooed comeback bid, but wilted under scrutiny.

And in Florida, GOP Senator Marco Rubio beat Democratic Rep. Patrick Murphy, giving Rubio a platform from which he could mount another bid for president in 2020. The outcome was not unexpected since Murphy had been abandoned by his own party in the final weeks of the campaign, but polls had tightened heading into Election Day.

In Arizona, meanwhile, GOP Senator John McCain, at age 80, won his sixth term in quite possibly his final campaign. The 2008 GOP presidential nominee was re-elected without much difficulty despite early predictions of a competitive race, and struck a reflective note ahead of the outcome.

"While as Yogi Berra said, 'I hate to make predictions, especially about the future,' I'm not sure how many more I have in me," McCain said.

Democrats' only pick-up so far came in Illinois, where GOP Senator Mark Kirk had long been considered the most endangered Republican incumbent. Democratic Rep. Tammy Duckworth, a double-amputee Iraq war veteran, ousted Kirk.

In New York, Senator Chuck Schumer, the Democrats' leader-in-waiting for a new Congress, easily won re-election. But the results suggested he would be leading a Senate minority when he replaces retiring Nevada Senator Harry Reid in the leader's role.

GOP majority

Nonetheless, Schumer struck an optimistic note addressing supporters in Manhattan. "I hope the voters of America will bless us with a Democratic majority in the Senate," he said.

GOP incumbents around the country had faced energised Democratic challengers trying to oust them in costly and caustic battles shadowed every step of the way by the polarising presidential race between Republican Donald Trump and Clinton.

The GOP retook the majority just two years ago. And even though control of the Senate is likely to be razor-thin whichever party ends up on top, the advantages of being in the majority are significant. The controlling party holds the committee chairmanships, sets the legislative agenda and runs investigations. First up is likely to be a nominee to fill the vacancy on the Supreme Court.

Reid was retiring after five terms and trying to engineer a Democratic successor in Nevada. Democrats were optimistic that a strong Latino vote, and Republican hopeful Rep. Joe Heck's stumbles with Trump, would keep Nevada in their column.

Missouri, like North Carolina, was a GOP-friendly state that turned unexpectedly competitive as incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt seemed caught unawares by the nation's restless mood.

Throughout the campaign the Senate races provided moments of drama, not least as GOP candidates grappled with sharing a ticket with Trump. That tripped up Senator Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire after she asserted at one point that Trump could "absolutely" be a role model for the nation's youth.

In Nevada, Heck ended the campaign refusing to say whether or not he'd vote for Trump. Pennsylvania GOP Senator Pat Toomey, too, kept voters in suspense until the eleventh hour before disclosing late on Tuesday that he voted for Trump.


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