Ethiopia readies for elections, but outcome not in doubt

2015-05-23 19:36
Hailemariam Desalegn. (AFP)

Hailemariam Desalegn. (AFP)

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Addis Ababa - Ethiopia, Africa's second-most populous country, readied on Saturday for the first general election since the death of strongman Meles Zenawi, whose successor Hailemariam Desalegn is all but certain to stay in office.

Over 36.8 million Ethiopians have registered for Sunday's polls, but on Saturday life in capital Addis Ababa went on as normal. Apart from a few military vehicles at occasional crossroads, there was little sign that key elections were to be held the next day.

Analysts say the election falls far short of open competition.

"Electoral defeat is not on the cards for Ethiopia's ruling party, but it is vital for the country's development that it engages more effectively with dissenting voices," said Jason Mosely, from Britain's Chatham House think tank.

The Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) has been in power for over two decades and is confident of a win, but insists the result will be decided on its economic record alone. Ethiopia is now one of Africa's top performing economies and a magnet for foreign investment.

Rights groups - which routinely accuse Ethiopia of clamping down on opposition supporters and journalists, and of using anti-terrorism laws to silence dissent and jail critics - said on Saturday the polls would not be free or fair due to a lack of freedom of speech.

Addis Ababa dismisses such criticism, with government spokesperson Redwan Hussein telling AFP that voters would choose their representatives based on performance.

"If they want to give us another chance they will vote for us," he said. "If they have a grudge, they will not give their vote to EPRDF."

Polls open at 08:00 (05:00 GMT) on Sunday and close at 18:30 (15:00 GMT), with initial results expected within two to five days, and final official tallies on June 22.

Ethiopia, whose 1984 famine triggered a major global fundraising effort, has experienced annual economic growth of more than 10% over the last five years, according to the World Bank.

Former Marxist rebel-turned-leader Meles, who died in 2012, was succeeded by Prime Minister Hailemariam, who has said he is committed to opening up the country's political system to allow more space for opposition parties.

Exceptional' democracy? 

The opposition accuses the government of using authoritarian tactics to ensure a poll victory.

"The political space has been closed," said Yilekal Getinet, leader of Semayawi - the "Blue Party" in Ethiopia's Amharic language, and one of the nation's main opposition parties.

Such complaints are dismissed as "baseless" by the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE).

"The environment created for political parties this year is exceptional," NEBE president Merga Bekana said.

The Election Commission will deploy about 40 000 observers at 45 795 polling stations.

The only foreign election observers are from the African Union, which has sent a team of 59 officials. The European Union and the US-based Carter Center, which monitored 2005 and 2010 elections, were not invited back this time.

Candidates from 58 parties are running for office, but each must go through a system of drawing lots organised by the NEBE to limit the number of candidates to 12 per constituency.

Critics say the system is designed to hamper the main challengers. Semayawi, for example, had 456 applicants, but only 139 were allowed on final ballot lists.

"While symbolically significant... the polls are more of a logistical hurdle for the ruling party than a competitive, democratic exercise," Mosely said.

The ruling EPRDF won 2010 elections in a landslide. Those polls were peaceful, in contrast with 2005, when opposition accusations of irregularities sparked violence that left 200 people dead. The opposition won 172 seats in that vote, but only one in 2010.

This time, that solitary incumbent opposition MP has chosen not to run again. Meanwhile, polls in the constituency of the single independent legislator seeking re-election were postponed on Friday, after he complained there had not been "enough time and space" for campaigning.

Read more on:    ethiopia  |  ethiopia elections 2015  |  east africa

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