Brazil in with highest chances for soccer glory

2010-06-09 10:29

Brazil has the highest chance of winning the 2010 Fifa World Cup,

the Actuarial Society of SA predicted.

According to the society: “Mathematically speaking, Brazil has an

18.8% chance of winning the 2010 Fifa World Cup, followed by Germany with 18.6%

and Italy with 17.5%.

This is according to an actuarial model prepared by an

actuary and a pricing analyst from RGA Reinsurance.”

The model predicts that England has a 6.4% chance to win while the

Netherlands and Spain have 5.4% and 5.3% chances respectively.

While South African has a slim chance according to the model

anything is possible, said Actuarial Society of SA chairperson Rowan


He said: “While the actuarial model calculates a slim chance of

South Africa winning the 2010 World Cup, a good run of form, intensive

preparation and 50-million vuvuzelas behind them may very well help Bafana

Bafana outperform statistical expectations.”

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