New Idol McCreery aiming for Billboard Hot 100 top 10

2011-05-28 12:31

Los Angeles – Now that American Idol has crowned 17-year-old Scotty McCreery as its latest winner, how is his coronation single, I Love You This Big selling?

Industry prognosticators are projecting that the single may sell 180 000 downloads by the end of the tracking week tomorrow, the best debut sales week for an Idol winner’s first single since David Cook did 236 000, according to Nielsen SoundScan, with The Time of My Life in 2008.

McCreery’s 180 000 start will likely enable him to debut within the top 15 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart next Wednesday. Love could flirt with a possible top-10 entry.

Runner-up Lauren Alaina’s Like My Mother Does may sell 140 000, which will probably give it a top-20 entry.

Generally speaking, Idol winners’ first singles get little radio airplay, which is a factor in determining rank on the Hot 100 (along with sales and streaming data). But because both McCreery and runner-up Lauren Alaina’s songs are country tunes, they could earn a bit more airplay than usual, as their songs will appeal to multiple formats of radio stations.

Last year’s winner, Lee DeWyze, stumbled with his first single, a cover of U2’s Beautiful Day, which missed all of our radio airplay charts, but debuted on the Hot 100 at number 24 off the strength of its 95 000 sales start. Two years ago, winner Kris Allen launched at number 11 with No Boundaries, thanks to a 134 000 start.

– Billboard

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