Why divisive Zuma will win

2011-10-01 10:50

Jacob Zuma will emerge victorious in Mangaung next year because the forces that are rebelling against him are a coalition of greedy politicians with no moral standing.

One of their grievances is the manipulation of their “Polokwane king” by the Gupta family, which has replaced the Shaik family as the highest bidder for his expensive lifestyle.

Zuma is a skilful manipulator of divisions in the ANC. He manufactures them and pits comrades against each other so he can remain in power.

In exile, he survived challenges and rose to power because he portrayed himself as a representative of Zulus in the ANC despite the existence of Harry Gwala, Curnick Ndlovu and Archie Gumede.

On top of being a feudalist (he is a polygamist), he is a tribalist rather than a left-wing revolutionary. That is why he encouraged the late John Mchunu to print T-shirts with his face and an AK-47 on the back with the words: “Zuma 100% Zulu Boy.”

He will bank on KZN, whose membership rose dramatically when he contested for power. Some isiZulu newspapers subtly portray the challenge to Zuma as a manifestation of anti-Zulu sentiments in the ANC.

Such strategy works to Zuma’s favour. The “Zulufication” of the security cluster in government was not a mistake. People like General Bheki Cele are being portrayed as “outcasts” and demonised for their perceived disloyalty to Zuma.

This is while Blade Nzimande, Sdumo Dlamini, Nathi Mthethwa and Jeff Radebe have been presented as good and loyal cadres.

His first and second choices for the post of chief justice were John Hlophe and Sandile Ngcobo. Mogoeng Mogoeng was a last resort.

Gwala, who disliked Zuma’s tribal overtones, used to accuse him of being “Inkatha in the ANC”. Zulu traditionalists have flocked into the ANC because Zuma has successfully portrayed himself as “more Zulu than Chief Mangosuthu Buthelezi”.

Zuma will systematically purge the Mvelaphanda brigade and use the KZN ANC Youth League to divide the Malema brigade.

Those who challenge Zuma must focus on his role as head of intelligence in the ANC during exile, his failure to create jobs, his relationship with the Gupta and Shaik families, tribalism, his expensive family setup and his manipulation.

He has also tailored his foreign policy exclusively around Western interests.

Luke Mboya,


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