Forecasters predict clear, dry winter with cold mornings and warmer days

2010-05-05 00:00

LOCAL and national weather forecasters have predicted a clear, dry winter with colder mornings and warmer days in KwaZulu-Natal.

Kobus Olivier, an atmospheric scientist at the South African Weather Institute, said that “over May, June and July the whole country will be dry and experience below-normal minimum temperatures and above-normal maximum temperatures”.

“There is also evidence of some inversion layers over the area, which are very cold surface layers that occur especially in the mornings,” said Olivier.

Olivier said these conditions are likely but not definite, adding that “we can’t forecast this kind of detail, as there are no specifics available yet”.

Wisani Maluleke, a forecaster at the KwaZulu-Natal Weather Office, agreed with Olivier, adding, “There will not be much rain and people can expect clear weather during winter.

“The temperatures will also be in the warm category,” Maluleke added.

When asked about the El Niño climate pattern, which is associated with floods, droughts and other weather disturbances, Olivier said, “El Niño is subsiding to a north neutral phase and La Niña will be evident in the next four to five months.”

Dr Mark Tadross of the UCT Climate Systems Analysis Group said, “El Niño is the warm water in the tropical Pacifics and La Niña is the cold water in the tropical Pacifics.

“Essentially they change the circulation of the atmosphere and result in climate change.”

Olivier said that El Niño’s neutral phase should not affect the area, “but unfortunately this is unpredictable so it might become dry or wet; we just don’t know”.


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