Poll: KZN ANC to get 73%

2014-05-06 00:00

THE ANC in KwaZulu-Natal yesterday downplayed the latest Ipsos election survey that predicted a significant increase in the support of the ruling party in the provincial elections tomorrow.

Other parties, however, have dismissed the poll, which predicted a drop in their support, as inaccurate and not reflecting the support they had in KZN.

Leading polling company Ipsos polled 3 730 respondents between February 20 and March 28 in its Pulse of the People study, which measured support from voters who were registered to vote.

It suggested 73% would support the ANC, a significant increase over the 62,9% the ruling party obtained in the province in the last general elections.

The survey’s error margin puts the ruling party’s result at a low of 68,9% in a moderate voter turn-out scenario.

The latest poll differs from a survey released earlier this year predicting that the ANC would obtain 56%.

The survey suggests the IFP will lose half of their voters and only receive 11% of the KZN vote, and it predicts the DA will become the official opposition with 12%, increasing its provincial support from the 9,15% garnered in 2009.

The survey also suggests that the NFP and EFF would both receive two percent while the Minority Front is expected to receive one percent and ACDP zero.

ANC provincial secretary Sihle Zikalala said the ruling party has not looked into the survey because it would cause them to lose focus on their election strategy ahead of tomorrow.

“The ANC would not like to comment on the detail, including the methodology and end-product of the survey.

“The ANC requests all the people of KZN to vote for ANC on May 7. We don’t want people to take it for granted that a particular party would win so we urge people to go and vote,” Zikalala said.

The IFP’s deputy chairperson, Albert Mncwango, accused Ipsos of never giving his party a favourable prediction for any election results.

“They have never been accurate as far as Inkatha predictions are concerned. We are not worried,” Mncwango said.

“In 1994 they said we would get less than 10% but we got more. So what makes them correct this time?,” Mncwango said, adding that in the 1999 elections the pollsters had predicted that the IFP would be removed from the political landscape.

Mncwango also said the IFP was working hard on the ground to win the support of voters.

“The support we get is overwhelming. We don’t want to be prophets of our performance,” said Mncwango when asked what the party hoped to get.

But the IFP’s national campaign committee chairperson Narend Singh told Weekend Witness that the party hoped to obtain at least 25% in KZN, up from the 22% they received in the last general elections.

EFF co-ordinator Vusi Khoza dismissed the survey, also questioning the methodology used.

“We don’t believe EFF will get less than 10%. We are working on the ground, talking to the people. We will surprise the pollsters,” Khoza said.

ACDP leader Joann Downs also questioned the sampling used in the survey, saying it was too small to reach an accurate conclusion.

Downs said her party had grown its structures and tripled its membership in the province.

“There is no chance that we are going to get zero percent,” she said.

The DA, Minority Front and the NFP could not be reached for comment.

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