The poor, women back ANC

2009-03-17 00:00

SUPPORT for the ANC is particularly strong among women, people without schooling and among those earning less than R750 per month, and Jacob Zuma’s presidency of the party does not seem to have improved its popularity in KZN, according to a survey by the Human Sciences Research Council (HSRC).

The research, conducted in December as part of the HSRC’s annual South African Attitudes Survey, was based on the opinions of over 6 613 men and women across all race groups above 16 years of age.

The survey showed that the ANC remains the most popular party among voters, but with a reduced majority at 47%. In KZN, it has 37% of the vote.

The HSRC said the DA is on course to maintain its official opposition status with seven percent of the vote and more voters – three percent — expressed preference for the Congress of the People over established parties such as the IFP (two percent) and the ID (one percent).

“It appears unlikely that Cope will win any provinces, but will establish a foothold in the various provincial legislatures, buoyed by white and middle class voters,” said the HSRC.

According to the survey, support for the ruling party is strongest among women — at 50% compared to 45% among men; those with no schooling (63%), decreasing gradually with an increase in education levels to 55% at primary level, 53% at secondary level, 42% at matric, 30% at diploma level and 25% at degree level.

The highest proportion of ANC support was found among those earning between R1 and R750 (65%), those with no income (48%), decreasing to 10% for those earning R15 000 and above.

Conversely, support for the DA and Cope increased according to education levels. In the case of the DA, support increased from one percent among those with no schooling to 15% among those with a diploma and 23% among those with a degree.

In terms of monthly income, support for the DA was found to be highest among those earning between R750 and R10 000 (30%) and R15 000 and over (25%), and lowest among the poor.

Support for Cope was found to be highest among those earning R7 501 to R10 000 (five percent).

Only a “measly” two percent of white voters expressed their support for the ANC, according to the survey. Among black voters, 58% said they would vote for the ruling party while among coloureds and Indians, ANC support stood at 24% and 17% respectively. A “dismal” one percent of Africans said they would vote for the DA while support for Cope was spread evenly across race groups with four percent among whites and three percent each for Africans, Indians and Coloureds.

The HSRC found that 12% of the electorate indicated they would not vote, 13% were uncertain while 12% refused to disclose their preference. Refusals to disclose the political party they would vote for was highest in KZN (27%).

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