For Mboweni's growth plan to succeed the ANC has to give up certain dogmatic positions that were formulated when 7% growth was the status quo, writes Adriaan Basson.
Sprinkles early. Morning clouds. Mild.
Multimedia · User Galleries · News in Pictures
Send us your pictures · Send us your stories
Since nobody else in the major media outlets has taken up my challenge of writing a drought bulletin for Cape Town, I will attempt to do the first one.
There are three scenarios over the next twelve months. The first I call Nature's Gift and features abnormal rainfall in the remainder of July, August and September to make up for the well below average rainfall we have had so far this winter. This gives us enough water in the dams to survive through to next winter without abnormal emergency measures. In talking to several experts last week and based on current weather forecasts, I would give this scenario a 20 per cent probability. In other words, it is improbable.
The second scenario called Liquid Gold anticipates a major change in attitude towards water by the majority of Capetonians. The present city target of 500 million litres per day is met after a comprehensive communications campaign among all communities that leads to a change in behavior.
Equally, short term measures are successfully taken by the municipality to increase supply by tapping aquifers, by encouraging the multiple use of water by residents and the use of water tanks, recycling and a switch to grey water where possible, and the commissioning of mobile desalination plants. An effective partnership is put in place with all the other major players in and around Cape Town that can help including the wine industry, the tourist industry, the big insurance, oil and financial service companies, the foreign embassies, academia and the NGOs.
I put a 40% probability on this scenario as I have yet to see a coming together of Team Cape Town to see us through the looming crisis.
The third scenario I call Dire Straits where we stumble into a full-blown emergency through lack of foresight, lack of cooperation and lack of implementation of the necessary actions to see us through the next twelve months. In the end, extreme steps have to be taken to avert the situation that the taps run dry.
I also give this scenario a 40% chance of materialising since time is getting tight and there is still a general unawareness about the evolving risks as people go about their daily lives in sunshine.
Please let there be positive breaking news by the time I write the next bulletin.
Disclaimer: News24 encourages freedom of speech and the expression of diverse views. The views of columnists published on News24 are therefore their own and do not necessarily represent the views of News24.
Brody the dog is the best part of this trip.
All you need to know about the 2019 mid-size Porsche Macan Turbo SUV.
As cyber crimes increase daily, so does the need for the Cybercrimes Bill.
South Africa's Brad Binder will be taking part in MotoGP next year.
Get all the latest scoops here!
Apiwe Nxusani-Mawela is slaying!
To address gender bias.
GoodwoodMPC RecruitmentR6 500.00 Per Month Per Month
Cape Town Northern SuburbsNDC Personnel & Contractors CC
Cape TownTSU Protection Services (Pty) LtdR1 000.00 - R40 000.00 Per Month
Apartments / Flats
R 6 250 000
R 2 350 000
R 2 960 000
We subscribe to the Press Code.
You choose what you want
News24 on Android
Get the latest from News24 on your Android device.
Terms and Conditions
24.com Terms and Conditions - Updated April 2012
Creating your profile will enable you to submit photos and stories to get published on News24.
This username must be unique, cannot be edited and will be used in the URL to your profile page across the entire 24.com network.