IEC results centre. (News24)
Pretoria - Six voting districts in Tshwane could be key to determining whether the African National Congress or Democratic Alliance will be the biggest party in the metropolitan area, says News24 analyst Dawie Scholtz.
The DA late on Friday announced that it had won the highest number of votes in Tshwane despite the IEC having only verified just over 79% of the city's total votes.
Just after 16:20 on Friday, the DA and ANC were neck-and-neck in Tshwane with each party respectively at 42.49% and 42.61% of total verified votes each, according to the IEC.
Scholtz said there are six voting districts - where the full vote count has not been verified yet - that could be key to deciding which party will take control of the city.
Scholtz has determined these key districts according to the 2014 general election results and he specifically looked at voting districts where neither the ANC nor DA have commanding leads.
These voting districts are as follows, according their results in 2014:
Pretoria Technical High School in Ward 92
ANC - 49%, DA - 22%, EFF – 21%
Arcadia Primary School in Ward 92
ANC - 31%, DA - 50%, EFF - 11%
Pretoria-Wes Technical High School in Ward 58
ANC - 54%, DA - 18%, EFF - 20%
Philip Nel Fire Station Ward 58
ANC - 48%, DA - 18%, EFF - 27%
Corner of Brakfontein and Drakensberg Road in Ward 77
ANC - 35%, DA - 37%, EFF - 22%
Old Philena Middle School in Ward 106
ANC - 45%, DA - 29%, EFF - 21%
"There's a group of marginal voting districts that traditionally split their support," Scholtz told News24.
"And those six that I gave you are a good sample of those, and it's VDs [voting districts] like those that are somewhere in the middle who will determine I think who ends up winning, given that they're the most fluid," he said.
However, Scholtz further said that these six VDs are "quite a small portion of the votes".
"These six VDs will be very important indicators about the sort of final marginal wards and how they're going to go," said Scholtz.
"It's not like these six have enough votes to actually swing it - they don't. They're a bit small, but they're a good indicator," Scholtz added.
- Find everything you need to know about the 2016 Local Government Elections at our News24 Elections site, including the latest news and detailed, interactive maps for how South Africa has voted over the past 3 elections, or download the app for iOS and Android.