US weather forecaster reduces El Niño outlook

2014-11-06 20:48
El Nino

El Nino

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New York - The US weather forecaster on Thursday projected a 58% chance of El Niño developing during the Northern Hemisphere winter, reducing its outlook for the likelihood of the weather phenomenon in its monthly report.

The Climate Prediction Centre, an agency of the National Weather Service, said the most recent atmosphere and ocean conditions had "reduced confidence that El Niño will fully materialise".

Last month, the CPC said the phenomenon, a warming of sea-surface temperatures in the Pacific, was favoured to begin in the next one or two months.

El Niño, if it does materialise, is favoured to last into the Northern Hemisphere spring, according to the agency.

"If El Niño does emerge, the forecaster consensus favours a weak event," the CPC said in its report.

Global weather forecasters earlier this year increased the likelihood of El Niño, heightening uncertainty in global commodity and energy markets.

Read more on:    us  |  natural disasters

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