Uncertainty over impact of US elections on climate pact

2016-11-07 17:43
A member of Moroccan security stands guard next to flags of participating UN member states, on the entrance to the COP22 village in Marrakesh. (Mosa'ab Elshamy, AP)

A member of Moroccan security stands guard next to flags of participating UN member states, on the entrance to the COP22 village in Marrakesh. (Mosa'ab Elshamy, AP)

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Marrakesh — Climate negotiators started work Monday on implementing the Paris Agreement on global warming amid uncertainty over how the US election will impact the landmark deal as temperatures and greenhouse gases soar to new heights.

UN climate chief Patricia Espinosa told delegates in the rain-soaked Moroccan city of Marrakesh that "no politician or citizen, no business manager or investor" can doubt that the world is determined to shift toward a "low-emission, resilient society".

So far, 100 countries have formally joined the agreement adopted last year in Paris, including top polluters China, the United States, the European Union and India.

However, US Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has said he would "cancel" the deal if he wins the election this week. His opponent, Hillary Clinton, backs the climate policies of President Barack Obama's government.

"Achieving the aims and ambitions of the Paris Agreement is not a given," Espinosa said. "The peaking of global emissions is urgent, as is attaining far more climate-resilient societies."

The Paris Agreement marks the first time all countries have pledged to fight global warming by curbing the rise in greenhouse gas emissions, primarily carbon dioxide from fossil fuels.

The UN says global emissions rise every year, reaching 52.7 billion tons in 2014, primarily driven by the rapid expansion of China, India and other Asian economies.

Temperatures rising

Meanwhile, global average temperatures keep hitting new records. Last year was the hottest since reliable record-keeping began in the 19th century and this year is expected to be even hotter.

On a per-capita basis, rich countries like the United States, Australia and oil-rich Gulf nations have the highest emissions.

"The wealthiest countries live as if there were three planets," said French Environment Minister Segolene Royal. Meanwhile, poor countries in Africa are suffering the consequences with fertile land turning into desert, she said

"Climate change in Africa is the most cruel and the most unfair," Royal said, noting that African countries have contributed very little to the problem.

Delegates will meet for two weeks in the Moroccan city to work on the rules for implementing the Paris deal, including how to measure and report emissions so that countries can be held accountable.

Goal to keep rise down

The goal of the agreement is to keep the global temperature rise below 2°C compared with pre-industrial times, and "pursue efforts" to try to hold it to 1.5°C.

The lower threshold was introduced on demand from vulnerable countries such as low-lying island nations who fear they will be washed away by rising seas as global warming melts glaciers and ice sheets.

Temperatures have already risen about 1°C since the industrial revolution and analyses of the emissions cuts that countries have pledged so far show they put the world on a path to about 3°C of warming.

"Decisions made in the next few years will largely determine if we're able to achieve the 1.5°C  warming threshold agreed in Paris," said Manuel Pulgar-Vidal, Peru's former environment minister who now leads environmental group WWF International's work on climate change. "Or if we take the unthinkable option of blowing right past it."

Read more on:    cop22  |  morocco  |  climate change

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