Marikana will not cost Zuma - analyst

2012-09-28 19:06

Cape Town - The Marikana shooting will not see President Jacob Zuma lose control of the ruling party in Mangaung, political analyst Professor Steven Friedman said on Friday.

Events at Marikana had "hardened" the positions of both Zuma supporters and detractors, but what had happened there was not likely to unseat him at the ANC's elective conference in December.

"It [Marikana] hardens existing positions, both within the ANC and the country itself; it doesn't shift them," he said.

To the question of whether Zuma's handling of the Marikana situation might cause him to lose his position of party president at Mangaung, Friedman responded: "No."

Last month, Zuma announced a three-member judicial commission of inquiry to probe the violence at Lonmin's Marikana mine in which 46 people died.

Its findings are unlikely to emerge before early next year, after the elective conference.

On Thursday evening, speaking at a Centre for Conflict Resolution public meeting on "ANC factionalism on the road to Mangaung", Friedman was reported as saying that while Mangaung was likely to provide "good theatre", it would not be a defining moment in South African politics.

"Instead of fixating on Mangaung, we need to ask the hard questions, like the role that business and trade unions play in our society, rather than simply blaming everything on the governing party," he was quoted on the IOL news website.

Nominations for African National Congress leadership positions will open next week.

The party was holding a special national executive committee meeting on Friday, to discuss credentials for its national conference.

"They will be discussing credentials for Mangaung," spokesperson Keith Khoza said on Thursday. The meeting takes place at Gallagher Estate in Midrand, Johannesburg.

  • ianon.ym - 2012-09-28 19:11

    BlahBlahBlah - put a sock in it.

      juicecard.tshaka - 2012-09-28 19:39

      We no longer care about the trash from these so called political analysts since they are not held to task about their rumblings.Its more of a guess game and if the results don`t come your way its still bussiness as usual,to hell with you analysts

      themba.maseko.568 - 2012-09-28 20:43

      juicecard.tshaka you are bitter because Friedman is not saying what you want to hear. He has been spot for a long time now... - 2012-09-28 21:46

      We need strong, visionary and disciplined leaders... Terror Lekota for president!

  • lacrimosewolf - 2012-09-28 19:23

    So what will it take to unseat him? A week went by after the first 10 people were killed at Marikana before anything was done, resulting in another 36 deaths. JZ's cabinet (which he has re-shuffled at least twice) refuse to do the job they were hired to do. Are people not weary of the deflection all the time about Unions, Private Sector and of course that tired old stick, Apartheid, as a reason for doing nothing? We have the laws, we have the policies and procedures. What we do not have is anyone prepared to do any work to see it through. It seems that having made their utterances and written things down the current incumbents consider their work to be done and they can go off tenderly shopping and building high walls for the next 5 years.

      shirley.steenkamp - 2012-09-28 19:28

      I agree with you 100%. An even more worrisome question is what buffoon will replace him-other than more of the same. Maybe fewer wives?

  • gregory.jurgens - 2012-09-28 19:27

    How many people must he kill then ?

  • william.letsong.5 - 2012-09-28 19:31

    ANC president or not after Mangaung, I'm voting for the opposition in 2014.

      nettie.potgieter.5 - 2012-09-28 20:12

      William my hero! You must just keep on spreading the good message.

      themba.maseko.568 - 2012-09-28 20:55

      William your vote means nothing really, what matters is your attitude, your contribution to this country, etc

      william.letsong.5 - 2012-09-29 00:27

      It might not mean something, but it counts bra Themba. Part of my attitude and contribution towards my country is to make a decision to participate in an election and to vote for a party \in our system\ who can promise a stable future my children. Currently the ANC is responsible for way too many negativity. They failed us. Our beautiful land is sinking. Our education system is messed up and earlier our country were downgraded, you know the rest. So yes, I will go out and vote (for an opposition leader) even if it means nothing.

      Delton - 2012-09-29 18:45

      You've said it all bro.At least you hav taken an informed decision despite what doomsayers may say.For that i DELTON MONARENG TAKE OFF MY HAT IN HONOUR OF YOUR DECISION.My advice,vote DA.If u may want to know why i sugest DA as a best alternative opposition party dont hesitate to call me on 0829730612

  • J.Stephen.Whiteley - 2012-09-28 19:37

    Not a surprising comment as nobody in the ANC has the faintest idea what to do about cheap industrial labour. Mairkiana was solved by Lonmin.

  • shayne.welman - 2012-09-28 19:40

    Really. I hope no one paid for this opinion.

  • Stavo.Chax - 2012-09-28 19:52

    whether you want or not Zuma will be your next president

  • sihlangu.hokweni - 2012-09-28 20:01

    This analysis has no bearing on Mangaung BUT be carefull of the secret ballot-People were already tired of SHOWERHEAD LONG B4 Marikana.IF he does get a second term I'm voting for the opposition.At least they are predictable.

      william.letsong.5 - 2012-09-28 20:41

      Let's vote for any other black learder. Terror Lekota can make a good leader I think, judging from his comments in Parliament and views on current affairs.

      humphrey.s.mbothwe - 2012-09-28 21:04

      Don't forget to convince your king Malema to also vote for the opposition.

  • Michael - 2012-09-28 20:44

    Freedman analysis are very accurate, better than Prince Mashele and many others, Mashele misled COPE amd claimed that 2009 elections would be won on basis of morality, hence cope chose got the boshop to lead a poplitical party.

      Michael - 2012-09-28 21:47

      Apologies, my spelling is not up to scratch, i text while driving, i hope my message is clear though.

  • FinalJustice - 2012-09-28 20:47

    Very peculiar how the Marikana sage was staged in the mists of various other atrocities at the same time (1) the Limpopo text book sage, (2) unrest in the Western Cape by the hands of the ANCYL, (3) the Auditor General's findings re: Unclear audits by 90%-plus of Municipal/Provincial steak holders ... All in an effort to try and shade these headlines? I might be mistaken, but for some reason I sense a desperate 'smoke screen strategy' by the ruling party ahead of its Mangaung conference, or is it just me?

      theo.schoeman.71 - 2012-09-28 21:16

      Good change that you spot on !

  • Bafana Joseph - 2012-09-29 06:33

    zumaville must go no matter what

  • Bafana Joseph - 2012-09-29 06:47

    marikana or not marikana zumaville must go

  • sabeer.mahomed.3 - 2012-09-29 08:43

    Umshini wam Umshini wam

  • tshepo.maganedisa - 2012-09-29 09:21

    This Political analyst have never predicted even one event correct, i have stopped listening to what they have to say

  • klas_goran - 2012-09-29 11:52

    Fight for freedom is one thing. It can be hard and requires a lot of suffering and courage, but in another way it is easy also, because the fight is against something that is seen as bad and wrong. After the victory another kind of struggle starts. And this struggle is much more complicated and demanding. Now it is about developing a society and to meet a wide range of both hope and demands from the people. And the people are not one; the people are plenty with different needs, different values, different skills and conditions. Now it is time to create democracy and democracy is an ever-present process, never ending. A process that incessantly must be elaborated by trustful leaders who are prepared to adjust policies as soon as there is a need for it. But this must be done within the borders of democracy. In the interest of the people and the country. Do you have this leaders in South AFrica today? The ANC love to talk about the heroes from the pas, but where do we find the heroes of today?

  • jacqui.daanevanrensburg - 2012-09-29 12:02

    Marikana?. Wasn't that caused by Apartheid?.

      klas_goran - 2012-09-29 12:20

      What kind of Apartheid do you mean?

  • GOD4SA - 2012-09-29 19:15

    Urgent prayer request for our President Jacob Zuma! God in Control+ Not the countries people+ Nobody to judge, ONLY GOD+ GOD HAVE ALL OF US IN THE PALM OF HIS HANDS+ Nobody can take decision making OUT OF GODS HANDS+ HE IS THE BEGINNING AND THE END+ DO NOT JUDGE+ GOD IS THE JUDGE+ GOD IS LOVE+ THE GREATEST FORCE IN THE UNIVERSE+

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