Over third of SA population under 18 - Unicef

2014-08-12 18:06

Johannesburg - Over one third of South Africa's population is expected to be under the age of 18 in 2015, according to a United Nations Children's Fund (Unicef) report released on Tuesday.

According to Unicef's "Generation 2030 Africa" report, next year, out of South Africa's projected population of 53 million people, 18 million of those would be under the age of 18.

The projected population for the country equalled 5% of Africa's total population, while South Africa's below-18 population comprised 3% of Africa's population within the same demographic.

Five million South African citizens would be under the age of 5 (3% of Africa), while 10 million would be adolescents (4% of Africa).

In 2050, South Africa's projected population of 63 million would equal 3% of Africa's, while its below-18 representation drops to below 3%.

Nigeria looms large, with 2015 seeing the country equalling 16% of Africa's population and its below-18 population equalling 17% of the same demographic across the continent.

In 2050, Nigeria would make up 18% of Africa's total population as its expected population in 2015 of 184 million was expected to more than double to 440 million.

This growth is mirrored in expectations regarding Nigeria's under-18 population, where it would comprise 21% of the continent's total under-18 population.

Fertility rate

Regarding fertility rates, next year SA was expected to have a fertility rate of 2.3 children per woman, one of the lowest on the continent, and below Africa's expected average of three children per woman.

In terms of contraception, over 60% of South Africa's married or in-union women between the ages of 15 and 49 were expected to use contraception, among the top five highest rates of use in Africa.

Of married or in-union women in the same age group, less than 15% wanted to stop or delay childbearing, but were not using a method of contraception.

Next year, South Africa's old-age dependency ratio was expected to be nine people per 100 persons of working age, being between 15 and 64 years old, the sixth highest on the continent

South Africa was also expected to have 65% of its population living in urban areas next year, the ninth highest level in Africa.

According to the report, in 2050 around 41% of all births world-wide would take place in Africa, while in the same year 25 people out of every 100 would be African.

This was against the expected figures in 2015, where Africans would make up 16 people out of every 100 around the world.

In 2015, 40% of Africa's population was expected to be living in cities, versus over 50% in 2050.

  • Cebolenkosi Ntobeko Ngcobo - 2014-08-12 18:11

    let the old dinosaurs of the previous era die out and let the youth come to power your time has passed as ours begins

      Goeie Donner - 2014-08-12 18:16

      The youth? You mean the ones who pass this play-play matric with 33%? We are in for a rough ride ladies and gents. Prepare yourselves.

      Kobus Hattingh - 2014-08-12 18:37

      Ummm, you now also refering to the youth that goes on a rampage in the city of Johannesburg plundering and robbing their own people? Somehow I'm not optimistic about their or this countries prospects.

      Ian Trenor - 2014-08-12 18:52

      Yes please. Then 10 years from now you sitting with tons more uneducated tenderpreneur wanna be's who just wanna sit on their asses and expect freebies thanks to the examples shown by cANCer and EFF!! Brainless!

      Zieyawa Mazet - 2014-08-12 19:22

      But why does everything have to be about race for you people and by you people I mean both blacks and whites. This is so annoying. Instead of tryibg to co-exist peacefully and try and be a better example to our children we busy hurling insults at each other. Disgusting.

      Jonathan Woods - 2014-08-12 21:17

      With attitudes like yours Ngcobo and the projected figures for Africa in general it is no wonder that even mother nature is waking up and shaking and spreading disease throughout Africa to sort out the balance again. And It is doubtful whether this projected figures will ever materialise as with the lowering of the average age and regression of education , wisdom and understanding. Africa will simply regain its previous balance through war disease and malnutrition.

      DarrenCooper68 - 2014-08-12 21:22

      Well said Ziyawa. Have faith brother, the majority of us feel the way you do. They cannot be bothered with the racist drivel that we for some reason read on these forums. Don't ever assume the average person is reflected here.

      Kevin Marsh - 2014-08-12 21:55

      Wonder how many of these youngsters are HIV positive . Any guesses

      Celeste Terblanche - 2014-08-12 22:18

      go back to school you uneducated bastard! you could learn things from your elders, like respect, for instance!

      Cebolenkosi Ntobeko Ngcobo - 2014-08-13 00:18

      Well I'm certainly not apart the 33% generation thank god for that and at the moment I'm a varsity student studying towards a engineering qualification so I will be educated as for the other youths they will learn the hard way 33% means sh#t in the real world they will learn

  • Richard Young - 2014-08-12 18:23

    Over breeding ?

      June Francis - 2014-08-13 10:42

      Gees people , please stop breeding we are not rabbits.

  • Heinrich Adams Adams - 2014-08-12 18:33

    But what they don't say in these figures is that poverty,unemployment,crime lack of intelligent wil dramatically rise by 2050

      Mc Apple - 2014-08-12 19:59

      Don't worry, Cyberdyne Corp of Japan is already offering android domestic workers. Can you imagine what we will have at our disposal in 2050. The usefulness of the African worker is drawing to a close. Space exploration I think will be lead by the Chinese and their workers but all in all, exiting times ahead.

      Jonathan Woods - 2014-08-12 21:25

      Indeed ! It would not surprise me at all if the Elite simply decide that certain races are no longer relevant. I hear that there has been a lot of work being done on genetic targeting of viruses and nanotechnology !

      Susan Grobler - 2014-08-12 22:31

      So do something about it and stop your superior rantings

      Mc Apple - 2014-08-13 09:38

      @Jonathan Woods: If you think about it, studies done 40 years ago recommended that the world population be reduced by 66% to keep this planet healthy and sustainable. If you take a look at the educated advanced cultures of the world their population growth has stabilized or gone into negative territory. On the other hand you have the developing world breeding like rabbits while not contributing much. Someone will have to do something sooner or later or else this planet and everything on it will be dead. With the machine age on the horizon and the need for cheep labor or human labor for that matter about to be rendered null and void things might change very fast overnight. That is when political correctness will go out the window and why shouldn't it. With nano technology you can wipe out the entire population of Africa and make it look like some freak virus. That is what I would do.

      Jonathan Woods - 2014-08-13 13:19

      Absolutely Mc Apple, and it is not about racism it is about reality and I dare say the starting programs are already well under way and it is already too late the stop them as far as the great majority are concerned.

  • Julian Jacques Bekker - 2014-08-12 18:38


  • Mpho Marvelous - 2014-08-12 18:57

    Good an bad news at the same time.

  • Grant Durban - 2014-08-12 19:47

    Does that mean a third of our population is not brainwashed?

      Mc Apple - 2014-08-12 19:51

      You do know we are still in Africa Grant? You can not possibly expect these boy to actually take responsibility for themselves do you?

  • DarrenCooper68 - 2014-08-12 21:20

    People need to keep their knees together We are creating workers quicker than any country can produce jobs. Seriously, how stupid are our fellow South Africans. Make a grant for every woman between 14 & 25 with no kids that is the equivalent of the grant payable for 3 kids. Also, perhaps only give grant for 1 child.

  • DarrenCooper68 - 2014-08-12 21:27

    People are breeding themselves out of a viable future. Perhaps the youngster believe Govt, that struggles to run anything that doesn't need to make a profit, will somehow grow the mines, farms etc and be able to feed, house and give tenders to everyone. Delusional....

  • Monica Kieck - 2014-08-12 22:41

    If the ANC will take care of proper education; these children will be the future of our Country. It is now the time to take care of Education; our South African Military service; Medical services in Government Hospitals; Housing for the Parliament members; not those extravagant houses and sell Government properties via the correct ways. Not taking land from farmers as you will have no food or contaminated vegetables on your table soon. It is now time that Government start selling off the properties that they have on their books; they do not even know which properties they own; then take away the farms that they have given away; some of their Government officials are renting the farms out; let the farmers that have land produce their stuff. Don't take away farms from people that have bought their farms. It is like Zimbabwe where people had to leave their farms; please take note. Now the people are hungry and they have money and no food to buy. Mr. Zuma you opened up our Country to these people. Have not learned how this country got to this state. They killed the farmers and burned down the houses. Every day in our country they do the same. Do you want us to land up like most African Countries? All of us cannot live in the Western Cape. This is a province well run!

      Bingo - 2014-08-13 07:27

      Well said Monica. lets make our natural resource intelligence. Intellectual resource/capital takes time to grow but I can think of little else that will help curb population growth, lack of natural resource and dependence on the state..

  • Henno - 2014-08-13 08:01

    And why is this important some might ask? Because the ANC has through their failed education system created and army for the EFF. An army of disgruntled, jobless, unemployable youth which wants everything without working for it. The country will burb

  • Jeannette Thomas - 2014-08-13 08:08

    Every time I try read a story I get a dog walking all over the article blocking the story. Goodbye news 24

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