Uncertainty on Irina hitting SA again

2012-03-06 12:00

Durban - The SA Weather Service was not sure on Tuesday whether tropical storm Irina would return to South Africa this weekend.

"There is a difference of opinion on whether the tropical storm will come back close to the coast again, or if it will stay far away from the coast," weather spokesperson Mnikeli Ndaba said.

Ndaba said the tropical storm was located 748km east of Durban and would not have an impact on land. There would, however, be rough seas along the KwaZulu-Natal coast.

Irina caused heavy storms in KwaZulu-Natal on Saturday afternoon. On Monday the provincial co-operative governance department said about 48 families had been displaced.

"Phumaphi Makhaye, 56, broke both her legs when her house collapsed on her on Sunday morning in Jozini in the Nyawushadi area," department spokesperson Vernon Mchunu said.

No other injuries were reported.

- Have you been affected? Send us your photos.

  • Gordon20 - 2012-03-06 12:07

    I wonder weather or not this Cyclone will eventually hit our shores??

      jandreleroux - 2012-03-06 12:21

      I once heard of a meteorologist who introduced himself in this way: Im Jon, Professional Liar by trade! My guess is that the media did more than their share of spinning Irina in such a way that it will be more news worthy. Not much excitement in a headline like 40% Chance that Irina may hit!

      dewald.galjaard - 2012-03-06 12:22

      well your guess is as good as that of the SA weather service.

      richard.hipkin - 2012-03-06 13:42

      Well looking around at the damage these liars forecast I'd say they were pretty spot on.. People died and you doubting this?

  • dewald.galjaard - 2012-03-06 12:21

    It's coming! OMG! No wait it's going away. It's dying. Oh no wait... OMG HERE IT COMES AGAIN! WTF man. Ever heard of the technology age??

      Morné - 2012-03-06 13:14

      I find these type of comments just a bit unfair. The number of variables that can influence any weather system is astounding, including amongst others, air and sea temperatures, air pressure, humidity, landmasses and other weather systems to name but a few. The success of predicting systems is based on current data compared to previous similar events; our last having happened more than 25 years ago. No matter how much technology you throw at any problem, if your data is incomplete, it means very little. In out case, with one tropical storm every 25 years, you are starting from the back foot. In this I believe people like Truth24's ignorance far outweighs that of the SA weather service. Give credit where credit is due. Weather predictions is very close to looking into a crystal ball the world over. Our chaps are not doing a bad job all considered.

      richard.hipkin - 2012-03-06 13:44

      Truth24, seriously dude, you being idiotic about this.... really.

      dewald.galjaard - 2012-03-06 14:04

      Morne you know what? On review I actually agree with you and you point of view. Well some of it. Garbage in = garbage out. You, and any member of the SA Weather Service have my openly and public apology if I offended you in any way. This however does not excuse or exempt the Weather Service or any other News corp of delivering these erratic and inconclusive reports to the general public. In any other line of business/trade/science (dare I call it that) you would have been the laughing stock of the world and probably even labeled as irresponsible. So there you have it. @PointBlank. Dude you are only capable of cheap shots. I have not once ever heard you give any sound criticism which is directly related to the problem at hand. And when you do open your mouth your obvious display of an intellect which can only be compared to that of an Ogre is actually quite funny. Knock yourself out.

      richard.hipkin - 2012-03-06 15:30

      @Truth, maybe you should read the rest of the comments more then if you think I only offer cheap shots... Oh and you a fine one to talk old chap. You started off well this week but the last couple of comments have been lacking, severely, in anything intelligent.

  • Bryan - 2012-03-06 12:23

    Frikkin ridiculous!!!

      richard.hipkin - 2012-03-06 13:47

      Yes we know you are.

  • kevin.emslie - 2012-03-06 12:27

    "Irina would return to South African" ??? Editing? I wonder which South African this article is referring to?

      Mannie777 - 2012-03-06 13:20

      Where does it say that?

  • Stack - 2012-03-06 12:33

    my advice would be to check - they seem to have had the best forecasts. What scares me is that SAWS were trying to make it illegal for anyone else to warn or predict regarding weather - what are you supposed to do when they don't even know ????????

  • stefan.vanderspuy - 2012-03-06 12:52

    The weather predictions do seem to be far more accurate in other countries than in SA...

      Michael - 2012-03-06 13:00

      I can vouch for that! very accurate here!

      Aaron - 2012-03-06 13:21

      then go live there.

      richard.hipkin - 2012-03-06 13:45

      Actually no, we supply many countries and shipping lines with very accurate weather reports, you simply very ignorant about this...

      lindz.kok - 2012-03-06 14:47

      point blank are you on a tro;ing mission?

      richard.hipkin - 2012-03-06 15:32

      @lindz, I don't know how telling stefan that we actually send out very accurate reports word wide is trolling? Help me out here. Is posting inane and ignorant comments deemed ok while presenting facts are considered trolling? This country is screwed.

  • naphtaly.calvin - 2012-03-06 12:56

    Lucky are those that seem not to care of the changing world weather pattern!

  • Deon - 2012-03-06 13:37

    This reminds me of a rugby game years ago on Newlands. The 1 team played with a strong wind and half time the wind changed around. The weather predictions seems to be as easy as to pick Super 15 winners every weekend.

  • Izolohsm - 2012-03-06 15:11

    the saddest part is that the author of the article may have misunderstood a few things the SAWS spokesperson have said. Firstly, the name is Mnikeli Ndabambi and not NDABA as stated. Secondly, the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) has identified certain met offices to be in charge of Cyclones and Volcanic eruptions, In this case, the Indian Ocean is watched by La Reunion and the SAWS get information regarding Irina from them. Like Morne said, a number of factors influence the movement of tropical cyclone and it doesn't matter how much technology you have, it is still possible to get it wrong. If I may, remind you of the incident in the USA where Katherina killed a lot of people in New Orleans since they didn't know the movement of the storm. The SAWS issues a warning based on the advisories sent from the regional specialized meteorological centers (La Reunion) in this case.

      Stack - 2012-03-06 22:56

      the do seem to get mangled by the press as the stormchasing website dont have half the to-ing and fro-ing that has been reported in the press! and they are also using the data from La Reunion

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