KZN increase boosts Zuma - expert

2012-09-30 20:27

Johannesburg - The increase of ANC members in KwaZulu-Natal will help boost President Jacob Zuma's campaign for a second term, political author William Gumede said on Sunday.

"His [Zuma] campaign has been to consolidate support in KwaZulu-Natal and then try get some small pockets of support elsewhere," Gumede said.

"It will help his campaign and be a boost."

On Friday, the ANC's national executive committee announced that KwaZulu-Natal's membership had grown by 90 000 between January and September this year.

This was after the party had concluded its branch audits and officially opened the nomination debate for new leadership which will be elected in Mangaung in December.

KwaZulu-Natal is the African National Congress' biggest province and Zuma's home turf.

Gumede said the growth in the province could be attributed to the decline of the Inkhata Freedom Party (IFP).

"Former IFP members have joined the ANC because Zuma is there."

It was part of Zuma's campaign to get Zulu speakers to support his presidency.

"The problem [with this] is that they may support Zuma and not the ANC," said Gumede.

"Potentially if Zuma is not there, they might leave the ANC."

Gumede said from a long-term point of view for the party and the country this was not a good thing and it raised red flags.

"We don't want anybody to mobilise support based on one ethnic group. The country needs the kind of leadership that can mobilise support across all ethnic groups," he said.


This was a weakness in South Africa's democracy that could be exploited and to focus on a single community was dangerous.

"This undermines South Africa's attempt to build cohesive communities, diverse communities and one identity," said Gumede.

The focus on just one ethnic group was not sustainable for long-term voting.

Gumede said it was possible that if 90% or more of KwaZulu-Natal voted for Zuma in December he would have the presidency "in the bag".

However, this would make governing the party and even the country very difficult.

"If you only win one region... it means when you govern there is going to be opposition all the time from within the ANC. The presidency will be locked in a paralysis," said Gumede.

South Africa needed action and accelerated delivery. If this was the scenario, government would not be able to assist public service, he said.

About 4 500 of the 1.2 million ANC members were expected to attend the elective congress in December.

The party has said 3 687 branches would be represented.

The breakdown of the number of delegates sent to Mangaung is worked out with a formula and would be announced on Tuesday.

  • jannie.koekemoer.58 - 2012-09-30 20:38

    formula = pro jz 99% against jz 1%....

  • themba.maseko.568 - 2012-09-30 20:45

    This is common in multi lingual countries as in most parts of Africa. Unlike in mono lingual countries like Germany, France, Japan and the US.

  • lucky.luck.98 - 2012-09-30 20:52

    He have support in the rural areas but the government employees do not support him,if Anc elect him they will loose the election.Zuma promise he will look after the public servants and they voted for him.bye zuma follow mbeki.

  • ernest.lwandle - 2012-09-30 20:53

    Problem is that they may support zuma not the ANC ilike that its realy shows how are we still trailing far behind as africans we still judge the people by their superficialy standards of race/ religion/gender and tribe instead of judging eachother obout abilities/ skills/talents and educational qualifications.

  • pierre.nortje.581 - 2012-09-30 21:00

    I wonder if Julius Kidi Amin (the Fat Fart from Lim-poep-hol) will be able to drum up enough support against the zillions of Zulus that will be waiting for the Poepholians at their upcoming ANC conference?

      atholl.canterbury - 2012-09-30 22:14

      Pierre, you must update your sclepchleler ! ... it's not Poepholians ... it's Poephooligans. Poepholians is from the French Revolution - like in Napholians. Poephooligans is from the South African Counter-Revolution - like Goebbels-Poephooligans.

  • christopher.m.lowe - 2012-09-30 21:04

    Heck, I'd also join up. It's free AND they promise you a job and a free house. pffftt!

  • sthembiso.jali.58 - 2012-09-30 21:06

    im sure the so called new signings were promised a portion of that R203 million.

  • henk.vanrensburg.31 - 2012-09-30 21:08

    breakdown of the number of delegates sent to Mangaung is worked out with a formula......african democracy.!!!

  • sphamandla.s.ntshangase - 2012-09-30 21:10

    long live president zuma long after statement releved by montlante today that say ANC was not suppose to fire malema give ZUMA more support cause lot of people hate julius now

      ntsieni1 - 2012-09-30 21:32

      That's your speculation of most people hate malema,,you zulus pretend like you really love each other,we know you better than yourself,within this period of two months we will hear more killing from your ANC in kzn,,why don't you kill GATSHA

  • shamiel.mathews - 2012-09-30 21:16

    The country needs another president, someone we can look up to and respect. We need leadership, real visionary leadership that can take our beautiful country forward. Please vote in Kgalema Motlanthe....that would be a step in the right direction.

      sphamandla.s.ntshangase - 2012-09-30 21:23

      its seem u are de only one going to vote for montlante we go wth zulu guy zuma

  • sam.ntshangase - 2012-09-30 21:30

    Mr gumede you failed to acknowledge that when ECape had Pres from there that Prov had majority suport soon they have lost suport. Therfore your analysis is subjective

  • hloniphile.fakazi - 2012-09-30 21:34

    Amandla awethu!!! We must vote for Zulu Boy!

      geraldene.rayner - 2012-09-30 22:00

      We not as stupid as you

      mazandie.mente - 2012-10-01 14:22

      We are not voting for that double headed moron voetsek

  • dorcus.mothiba.9 - 2012-09-30 21:35

    we dont want zulu leadership anymore,otherwise we will end up like goodwill zwelithini our taxes will be wasted on many wives in the name of tradition.

      sphamandla.s.ntshangase - 2012-09-30 21:47

      dont talk abt zulus like that cause u are fool unless if u are looking for war u knw zulus stupid

      siphelele.simelane - 2012-10-03 07:36

      listen here sisi u don't talk about my king.. and i mean u don't u can say whtever u want about zuma but not about my king zwelithini, u don't even know him tht much..*angry* remove your nose frm staff tht doesn't involve you..

  • ernest.lwandle - 2012-09-30 21:36

    can u ANC GUYS nominate me my qualifications 1 im very corrupt 2 i cant fix anythig 3 i can blame arpatheid as much as i can 4 im capable of biting any hand thats try to feed me 5 im a denielist 6 lastly im not educated and im dom.

      tsietsi.mshengu - 2012-09-30 21:48

      Ernest you will get two presidential terms with these fools. You meet all the requirements.

  • ntsieni1 - 2012-09-30 21:36

    Someone give me a rifle to kill GATSHa

  • sheik.mohammad.378 - 2012-09-30 21:36

    It's worked out on a formula.......... and with a 30% as a pass mark things can only be in Zuma's favour.

  • edgar.mooi - 2012-09-30 21:50

    Thanks zuma to make zulus understand the anc ,hope they won't take it as inkatha which ws a zulus party. U must be abel to tell den even if umupedi or umuvenda take over as president u mulungu we anc they must be members as always.

  • B.b. - 2012-09-30 22:51

    Eish eish eish,,,these people! It's KwaZulu Natal, not Zulus. In KZN we have Coloured, Indians, English speaking people, Afrikaaners, Zulu speaking people, Va Tsonga, Va Swati, even AbaXhosa, NaMampondo, so, stop Zulurizing KZN. Pls, but then I can vote for Zuma since he's has shown that he can't be frustrated by Malema, he can deal with professionally. That's y I like him (Zuma).

      mazandie.mente - 2012-10-01 14:16

      Mfxm its only bcoz of that sopping centre

      mazandie.mente - 2012-10-01 14:18

      Its only bcoz of tha shopping centre

  • Erna - 2012-09-30 23:11

    Now why don't I trust this coincidental increase in KZN and decrease in EC?

      B.b. - 2012-10-01 03:41

      There is also EC's new Inkatha, which is called COPE, that's y u see the decline of ANC membership in EC lol lol lol

      siphelele.simelane - 2012-10-01 14:44

      who cares if u trust it or not

  • douglas.reid.921 - 2012-10-01 06:34

    After Zuma's second term the call will be for president for life. In Africa you don't hand over power easily.

  • Bafana Joseph - 2012-10-01 15:50

    Zuma must go back to Kzn to be a king/chief/tax owner thats where he fits in so far

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