Malema could be back - analyst

2012-04-25 08:03

Johannesburg - The political future of expelled ANCYL president Julius Malema is tied to the ANC faction that holds power, a University of the Witwatersrand political analyst said on Tuesday.

Malema could be back, depending who in the ANC held power, Professor Susan Booysen said in reaction to the ANC National Disciplinary Committee of Appeals' decision to dismiss Malema's appeal against his expulsion.

"He is 40 years younger than the current ANC leadership. If he doesn't burn himself out, there is a good chance he will have a political future," she said.

Financial woes

Booysen said it appeared that, with Malema's current tax woes and problems with contractors, the odds were stacked against him.

The City Press newspaper reported on Sunday that Malema owes the SA Revenue Service (Sars) more than R10m - apparently relating to millions deposited into his Ratanang Family Trust.

The Sunday Independent reported that several of Malema's allies had been subpoenaed to appear before a secret judicial inquiry for suspected tax Sars would not comment, saying taxpayers' affairs were confidential.

However, earlier in April Beeld newspaper reported that Sars had approached Kwandisa Construction with queries about Malema's financial affairs.

According to the newspaper, building had been halted at Malema's new home in Sandton as he was allegedly unable to settle a debt of R400 000 owed to the building contractor at the end of March.

It had decided to transfer its workers to another project in Bedfordview.

Malema bought the property in September 2009 for R3.6m, then demolished it to make way for a new three-storey home with an underground parking garage.

On Thursday, his gardener Joseph Mabuza claimed he had not been paid for February and March, but later told Eyewitness News Malema had paid him and he considered the matter closed.

Strategy against Malema

"The timing of this does suggest that there is a strategy to take him out," said Booysen.

It is a claim Malema has made himself.

On Saturday, the SABC reported that he had issued a challenge to those within the ruling party who were trying to silence him.

"We know that undemocratic processes are those that are intolerant to different views, those that use state power to deal with those that disagree," Malema said.

He said these elements had unleashed all state institutions against him as they would do anything to silence him.

"If they want to arrest me, I've got an address, they are welcome to come and arrest me," he said.

Malema now had nothing to lose, said Booysen.

President Jacob Zuma had been in a similar position and Malema had learned from that experience, she said.

'Many different ANCs'

Booysen said she was working in the Eastern Cape at the moment and that it was becoming increasingly clear from her interviews there that there were "many different ANCs".

What this meant was that there were party members who were disillusioned with its leaders, but who still considered themselves to be ANC.

"Malema may be a non-member, but he will create his own ANC and have supporters around him."

He was popular and "called a spade a spade" which went against the party's existing culture, which did not publicly question the leadership or its decisions.

  • Thoka - 2012-04-25 08:11

    Is this another terminator movie???

      Munga - 2012-04-25 08:32

      They use him now they fire him but what they must know is that the part doesn't belong to them

      Pleasedieanc - 2012-04-25 08:51

      its only because the media keeps reminding us that he exists - IGNORE THE FAT, RACIST BUFOON!

      Dazz - 2012-04-25 09:51

      it's a Jungle in the Zoo

      Foc - 2012-04-25 09:54

      Malema will NOT form a new party because he KNOWS without the ANC he is NOTHING.... and why is the ANCYL so quiet now?? they also know they are NOTHING without the ANC.... Without the ANC connections there are no access to business opportunities so the money cow has dried up .... Malema do not have the guts nor the know-how to drum up enough support ... all these big mouth supporters on this forum will be totally silent in a few weeks ... mark my words

  • Koos - 2012-04-25 08:12

    Taking into consideration that status, splashing money around and buying votes plays a major part in ANC politics I have to NOT agree. I don’t think he will be back. The only reason Juju was “in the money” was the promise of holding a positions of authority that in ANC terms translates to a position of handing out tenders and influencing tenders. That promise is now gone. I’m betting no one will touch him after this except maybe the lawyers of the people claiming money from him that is.

      Alan - 2012-04-25 09:35

      Juju may be wearing an Orange Overall soon, and that wll be the biggest of his worries. Hubba hubba big Bubba

  • DrGonzoSA - 2012-04-25 08:13

    The ANC has to split. How can a single party have such wildly differing opinions? Then we can have a proper democracy, not a de facto single party state. Come on Juju, set up your own party.

      Reshan - 2012-04-25 08:25

      The people vote for the "brand" ANC and not the people running it. If it splits, the half that keeps the name will still hold majority for many elections to come unless the educated take it in their own hands and start educating. IMO educated men that still vote ANC are benefiting one way or another through corruption/crime

      Foc - 2012-04-25 10:12

      Malema will NOT form a new party because he KNOWS without the ANC he is NOTHING.... and why is the ANCYL so quiet now?? they also know they are NOTHING without the ANC.... Without the ANC connections there are no access to business opportunities so the money cow has dried up .... Malema do not have the guts nor the know-how to drum up enough support ... all these big mouth supporters on this forum will be totally silent in a few weeks ... mark my words

      camolivier - 2012-04-25 12:25

      Cope Tried it and failed. I don't see Malema succeeding here - not with starting a new party. I agree with Hat3d - ANC as an institution and some ideological fantasy holds power. Moving from that name, that dream, whoever that is, will struggle incredibly to gain any form of real traction. Unfortunately, it seems we're stuck with an ANC and "we're not ANC, DA" for a while still.

  • Morrone - 2012-04-25 08:17

    If "Bunga Bunga" President thinks this is over he's got another thing coming... Anyway who's gonna entertain us? Zille?

  • nina.ignjatov - 2012-04-25 08:20

    If he does become a president of this awesome country I am out of here!!

      Morrone - 2012-04-25 11:00

      What are you waiting for?

      Munga - 2012-04-25 13:22

      Better you leave you look like outsider if you belong here where else can you belong?

  • bluzulu - 2012-04-25 08:21

    This analyst sat in on the Uys Lecture..............

  • Piet - 2012-04-25 08:21

    The beginning of the end of the ANC.

      Bless Boswell - 2012-04-25 08:35

      I pray fervently that you are right!

  • Mark - 2012-04-25 08:26

    He can always move to Pyongyang and write propaganda for North Korea in Pedi.

      Munga - 2012-04-25 09:14

      The way other people comment about malema shows that they Do not belong to this country the things malema addressing to day will be the future event one day no matter how long believe it or not

      Mark - 2012-04-25 09:25

      Trust me, not a day goes by that I don't wish I didn't have this millstone known as South African citizenship around my neck. I have to hang my head in shame as our ridiculous 'leaders' mouth off about how great socialism is, and heap praise on the rogues of this world. Mugabe, Gadaffi, Kim Jong Il. Do you really think any sane person can be proud of how people like Malema behave given the people he aspires to be like? If he is the future, then it's a future I want no part of.

  • henk.vanderwatt - 2012-04-25 08:29

    He did not "called a spade a spade" he called it whatever he wanted it to be and try to convince others to see what he see

      Alan - 2012-04-25 09:37

      but a Spade remains a Spade

  • Ted - 2012-04-25 08:33

    The learned analyst should understand that in the continuum of politics, there will be the extreme left and extreme right at both ends and a so-called centre. Even within a single party like the DA, ANC or even the Republicans and Democrats in the USA you have these parts WITHIN each party. It doesn't mean that there are many ANCs or DAs. There are those who are right wingers in the ANC like Malema, centrists like Montlante and leftists like the chairman of the NDCA. It is common within all parties and apparently, that shapes the politics of that party and at the end it shapes its policies. When you have the whole party made up of people who are say right-wingers, it becomes extremist. Forming his own party would be stupid for Malema. Holomisa, Lekota and Terror tried it but am not sure whether they can be said to be doing well politically.

      Con - 2012-04-25 08:57

      " Terror" and " Lekota" are one person Ted.

      Ted - 2012-04-25 10:14

      @Con. Thanks for correction. Wanted to say Shilowa. Was just trying to indicate the skeletons we can all quickly forget.

      DrGonzoSA - 2012-04-25 13:25

      I appreciate that every political party has a level of differing viewpoints, but to have such diametrically opposed views on fundamental issues such as nationalisation is certainly not the norm for a single party

  • Zolisa - 2012-04-25 08:33

    A very interesting view Prof. Susan Booysen that Malema could be back.will depend on who wins in Mangaung

      eradingoana - 2012-04-25 09:41

      If he might survive his legal battle coming.

  • Bless Boswell - 2012-04-25 08:34

    Well, he'd better get himself an education and some polish before he tries to make a comeback. Right now he's just a disgraced buffoon.

      ntsieni.ramathuthu - 2012-04-25 10:21

      aredi *juju* vhane vha shango vhane vha amba zwine vha funa...

  • Nigel - 2012-04-25 09:02

    This is the problem with SA politics, instead of having real opposition parties (besides the DA) we have parties within a party, this is due to the outdated & lingering loyalty to the party that liberated the black people, the problem is that this party needed to transform from liberation mode to governing mode & has failed to do so, hence the different factions breaking away, also the political landscape of SA is slowly maturing (very slowly) but maturing it is & with the maturity comes differences, the single enemy which was Aparthied, united all these factions into one group, 18 years later after apartheid has gone, there is no single threat holding these different factions together, & a split is inevitable. The ANC is doing everything in its power to cling to power & neutralize these threats & it will become more of a bully, its time for SA to take the next step & become a proper democracy, not a play play one. Vavi form your own party, the Social Democrats, Malema have the guts to start your own party, what ever that might be, probably the communist democrats LOL, thats how confused his message is, WE NEED A STONG BACK LED OPPOSITION, & it must come from the ANC itself.

  • lynda.manxiwa - 2012-04-25 09:03

    All I can say is karma is a nusty b-queen..... they removed Mbeki to disgrace him and guess what Mbeki is still a card carrying ANC member and Zuma's change of Karma payback awaits him in Mangaung.

      lynda.manxiwa - 2012-04-25 09:04

      change= chance

  • Buffalo - 2012-04-25 09:17

    I'm afraid your analyst Booysens has it wrong. The ANC's constitution and nature does not allow for strategies to take individuals out - Malema and cohorts are taking themselves out through their behaviour. The constitution is clear: the president is the custodian and heart of the ANC if you attack or embarrass him or the top structure you do it to the ANC - that is every single member and supporter. You are then opposition, doing their work for them. Malema and his ANCYL supporters are scoring for the opposition - Pirates will never allow its players to score goals for Chiefs. Such a player woulkd be a traitor. Give Malema's ANCYL renegates all the red card - they expell themselves!

      david.mongezi - 2012-04-25 11:18

      Malema will b back just wait and see .What happend to freedom of speech ,i mean juju is not afraid to speak his mind as a youth president.When a child is wrong the parent repremand him but not chasing the child out of the house.There is a say that we can study the past only in the light of the present and fully understand the present only in the light of the past.

      sven.gohre - 2012-04-25 13:56

      @david, at 30+ he is no longer a youth, I am sure if your "child" at that age behaved in a disrespectful manner in your house, you would kick him out and tell him that in his own house he can make the rules, but under your roof you do. If not, your child will never leave home and be nothing but an embarrassment to you as he/she does nothing but call the shots, while eating the food that you work hard for. The CancER was correct in kicking him out, if he wants to make the rules, he can start his own party and see how much influence he has on the voting sheep.

  • brionyl.french - 2012-04-25 09:20

    JAIL!!! JAIL!!! JAIL!!!! Come on!!!

  • Bogoshi - 2012-04-25 09:35

    Its about time Cope, DA, PAC, IFP, UDM and other small political parties get together and make an alliance new name that will challenge the ANC, with new leadership with one objective which will be to unite the country, create sustainable jobs, prevent corruption, educate its citizens, care for its citizens.

      giovannigaggia1 - 2012-04-25 10:35

      I agree

  • Zolisa - 2012-04-25 09:43

    A very interesting view Prof. Susan Booysen. Malema could be back.Lets wait for Mangaung conference.Results./ Malema will appeal there.Surely most branches will support him.

  • Dazz - 2012-04-25 09:50

    as long as many are still fooled by "diplomacy", many will forever find fault at unbarrelled mouth-pieces, many still believe it's Mugabe's fault that zimbabwe's economy is were it is. hehe we'll see but i doubt he may come back as a public figure.

  • Lungile - 2012-04-25 09:51

    I too think that Juju stands a chance to come back provided he can work on his studies and in the process rebuild himself around tertiary institutions politics, mobilise Sasco n Cosas towards uplifment of education standards in SA. Further, being to get at least 1 tertiary qualification. Hopefully he can gain diplomacy and certainly respect of others then he can make a come back.

      John - 2012-04-25 10:50

      "WORK ON HIS STUDIES" - dude thats so classic? He cant even read a comic! *roll on floor laughing.....*

  • pumlanukunamyeki - 2012-04-25 11:01

    Sometimes the political analysts are confusing issues, how can a non-member of the ANC create his/her own ANC? How sure is Susan that the people who she spoke to were the members of the ANC in good standing? I further suggest that Susan must refrain from taking individual opinions about political issues as analysis, because now she is just gossiping not analysing the situation.

  • Mashego - 2012-04-25 11:10

    No one is bigger than ANC. There is no Youth League without ANC thats why we call it ANCYL.It true that Malema can be a great leader but there are some element of disrespect thats what bring him dawn. people are confusing the Malema issue, Mr.Malema has been fired because of his conduct not for the policies their trying to address within the league. i want us all to recall Mr. Malema started to talk about the land issue, economic freedom and all that just before their conferance eversince he was looting and he has done nothing for the youth. he is a serious expence to the ANC itself i support the decision for the sake of ANC. the leadership we have today is nolonger interested on people much but for themselve and every one wants to lead. let me pause here bcoz its my ANC i love it but??????????

      Nigel - 2012-04-25 11:18

      Mashego, you say the are no longer interested in the people, how can you still love this party & if there was another strong black led party would you change your vote? I think you would, but where is the Black opposition, where?

  • Phepishi - 2012-04-25 11:28

    It's a sad day for those suffering masses whose voices are always not attended to. Malema was able to draw attention to real problems facing our country. and they will still be there, Malema or not! Tunisia 2020 might be coming around sooner than we thought

  • Yamkela - 2012-04-25 13:02

    Things are ought to be final. The anc must wake up and smell the coffee while it is stil hot

  • Nyiks11 - 2012-04-25 13:40

    Juju is a political liability that some would not want to be seen to be supporting him publicly , now is a time as good as any for his invisible friends in the ANC to spring into action in an attempt to ward off his pending showdown with Sars and a possible arrest by the Hawks.

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