Obama-Romney race remains nearly tied

2012-10-15 14:10

Washington - Three weeks before election day, the White House race between US president Barack Obama and his Republican foe Mitt Romney remains statistically tied, with Obama maintaining just a slight advantage, a new opinion poll found on Monday.

The latest ABC News/Washington Post survey showed that likely voters favoured Obama over Romney by 49% to 46%, which is within the poll's margin of error.

But Obama was still leading in nine battleground states - Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin - by 51-46%.

The mood of the voters slightly improved although most of them remained gloomy. According to the survey, only 42% of registered voters said the country was headed in the right direction.

The good news for Obama is that that figure was up by 13 percentage points since late August and, experts say, has reached a level at which an incumbent can survive.

Class factor

Neither candidate has so far managed to sway the voters toward their economic plan, the survey showed.

Just 51% of likely voters expressed confidence the economy will improve under Romney, and 48% said the same about Obama.

But the Republican nominee has the class factor to worry about. According to the survey, 57% of likely voters believed he would do more as president to favour the wealthy than the middle class. Sixty-eight percent thought Obama had favoured the middle class.

The race factor also plays a certain role. Obama trails by 11 points among whites, but has an overwhelming 73-18% lead among non-whites, the poll found.

The survey of 1 252 adults, including 1 063 registered voters and 923 likely voters, was conducted between 10-13 October and had a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points.

  • kobus.hattingh.5 - 2012-10-15 14:24

    Hope Romney kicks Obama's butt in the next debate! :)

      talita.vandermerwe - 2012-10-15 14:35

      I don't

      thando.gqabaza - 2012-10-15 14:46

      @Andile - My friend , I was in the US recently. They have moved beyond race and debate issues. I saw whites supporting OBama and blacks supporting Romney. They didn't care about race but on what each candidate stood for ( eg. economy , foreign policy ) etc.

      andile.mhlangu.7 - 2012-10-15 14:51

      @ Thando: Are we talking about white South Africa or black South Africa? Let's be honest guys, there's a huge difference between the two. White South Africa has the feel of a european 1st world country whereas black south Africa has the feel or a 3rd world African country. Let's not create a false sense of unity and equality because that is one way of preventing racial equality and justice from happening. Black south Africans and white south African are not in the same boat, far from it in fact. Let’s not deny the truth that this society his heavily stratified along racial lines and that whiteness continue to hold value. Colour-blindness undermines the hard work of all those who are anti racist and wish to end the unjust system of white supremacy.

      Frank Hublot Einstein - 2012-10-15 15:01

      US is not SA, in the US, some people see beyond skin color. SA is the capital of racism (all the races in SA are racist: not only whites). SA is even worse than Eastern Europe when it comes to racism

      felix.feline.3 - 2012-10-15 15:05

      Take your zanu pfft propaganda back to Zim andile. We don't like racists of any colour here. - 2012-10-15 15:16

      Andile you probably vote ANC because you blinded by colour. If the ANC had any policy that made sense and not discriminate I would vote for them too but they have no policy that does not discriminate. I have seen no improvement in the ruling party since the National Party who was just the opposite of the ANC. For your information Obama and the Democrats have actually not helped the USA one bit. They were given an economy that was rock bottom and has not done anything to fix it. Even the $ lost its AAA rating in Obama's rule. He is just like Zuma always at the parties and big events but when it comes to ruling the country and making positive decisions he is weak.

      kobus.hattingh.5 - 2012-10-15 15:38

      Well said Thando and speak for yourself Frank. Not ALL South Africans are raccists and I support Romney not because of skin colour but because he speaks sense. And many of my black American friends also support Romney. Get over the race issue!

      denny.cray - 2012-10-15 16:00

      @Andile - So .. what will your remark be in a couple years when Mazibuko (probably) takes over the DA leadership and the same whiteys still vote for her? Will they still be white supremacists? What about when the white population voted "yes" in the referendum. That was a vote for a black president too as everyone knew at the time. Did the white population revert back to white supremacy mentality after they had voted against it?

      jean.rossouwsa - 2012-10-15 16:38

      Again Kobus, again!!!

      jean.rossouwsa - 2012-10-15 16:40

      They are not firing O because he is black, the are firing him because he is useless! And that just proves they are not racist! not like some people who comment!!!!!!

      kobus.hattingh.5 - 2012-10-15 16:44

      I agree Jean. Wish we could get rid of Zuma also. Not because he is black but because he is useless. Madonsela would do a MUCH better job running this country :)

  • khathu.rasi - 2012-10-15 14:45

    America will still be ruled by a Black man, if not now white

  • Frank Hublot Einstein - 2012-10-15 15:02

    US is not SA, in the US, some people see beyond skin color. SA is the capital of racism (all the races in SA are racist: not only whites). SA is even worse than Eastern Europe when it comes to racism

  • sxp - 2012-10-15 15:47

    One thing is clear from this: race is a huge factor. Obama missed one chance to make sure of re-election: he bailed out the banks, rather than give the money back to the taxpayers to pay of their won mortgages. That was immoral, downright criminal and very stupid.

  • greg.meyer.543 - 2012-10-15 15:56

    There is no difference between the two. Romney is a Fascist (gov and corporations working together) Obama is a socialist (Giving handouts and freebies (education, healthcare) Romney Becomes president = War with Iran = WW3 Obama Becomes president = War with Iran = WW3 Either way, we are screwed

      jacowium - 2012-10-15 17:32

      Obama "becomes" president? What, is this 2008 all over again?

  • Frank Hublot Einstein - 2012-10-15 16:12

    U really think US attacking Iran will lead to a World War. Please help me explain how this will happen. Tell me the countries that will be on both sides of this World War - 2012-10-15 16:24

      World War 3 will only happen if China initiate it. So dont know where people get Iran and USA. Remember world war 1 and 2 was based on economics and land grabs not religion like it is with Iran and USA. Although the oil factor can cause a war but not world war.

      greg.meyer.543 - 2012-10-15 16:29

      Hi Frank... As you can imagine, I cant tell you why in a simple comment here... If you have the time, watch this for an intro...

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