US presidential race tight in 'swing states'

2012-05-07 20:48

Washington - President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney are in a statistical dead heat in Ohio, Virginia and 10 other states up for grabs in the 2012 election, according to a poll released on Monday.

The poll by Gallup Incorporated and USA Today showed Obama with 47% support in the 12 states and Romney with 45%, well within the survey's margin of error of 4 percentage points.

That is a tighter race than in March, when it found the Democratic president with 51% and Romney with 42%.

Behind the numbers, however, Obama supporters appear to show stronger support and more enthusiasm for their candidate than backers of Romney, a former Massachusetts governor and business executive who had to fend off a handful of more conservative challengers during his party's nominating process.

Fewer Romney supporters in the 12 "swing states" polled - which also include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin - said they were certain they would vote for the presumptive Republican nominee. They were also less enthusiastic.

"Romney's position does not appear quite as competitive, however, when one considers that his support is a bit softer than Obama's," Gallup, a national polling firm, said in a statement.

Steadfast Obama supporters

The findings come as Obama officially kicked off his re-election campaign with rallies in Ohio and Virginia six months before the vote. Other polls have also shown a tightening race in some swing states.

Gallup's findings, which did not provide a state-by-state breakdown, also showed more steadfast Obama supporters. About 36% of voters in the 12 states said they will certainly vote for Obama on 6 November election, compared to 32% for Romney.

The poll, which surveyed a random sample of 951 registered voters between 26 April and 2 May, also found that 55% of Obama's supporters are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting in the election, up from 49% in March.

In comparison, 46% of Romney supporters said they were extremely or very enthusiastic about the same as in March, when 47% expressed enthusiasm.

Gallup said the findings show a switch from January, when 55% of Romney voters were extremely or very enthusiastic compared to 50% of Obama voters.

Additionally, the survey found that 11% of Obama supporters and 13% of Romney voters said they may change their mind before the election. Another 7% were undecided.

That leaves 31% of swing-state voters at play in the competitive states, Gallup said.

"If Obama's advantage on enthusiasm continues, it could benefit him in voter turnout on Election Day. The key to these patterns, of course, is if they continue," it said.

  • mzeelie - 2012-05-07 21:36

    Go do your research, Ron Paul is the one that is actually winning this race for President. I think he needs to get a mention. Don't You? He is winning over delegates.

      Louwhan - 2012-05-07 22:15

      News24 is not very informed. I absolutely agree with you. Ron Paul or nobody at all.

      DSBennie - 2012-05-08 08:04

      What rubbish people can come up with: 1) you cannot win over delegates, nearly all of them have to vote for the candidate that they are assigned as a result of the caucus or primary, It is now impossible for Paul to win the nomination without winning all the remaining states, some of which he is not contesting 2) Paul is a libertarian not a republican, his chances of winning the republican nomination is as slim as Malema becoming president of Afriforum 3) Americans see Paul for what he is, a senile old man that has no idea what Americans believe in and how they believe their country should be run

      gghtssmop - 2012-05-08 14:06

      You actually misinformed, Ron does not command any support at all. Obama is in a better position or stage to win the elections now!!.

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