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What the models predict about Covid-19

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A week ago, many were complaining about the lack of published models by government to explain the decision-making process around the Covid-19 coronavirus pandemic.

On Thursday, the department of health hosted a Zoom call in which more models were presented than could fit on a catwalk in Milan. Some models are useful.

If modellers carefully explain their assumptions and present multiple scenarios, we can get a better understanding of the pandemic’s possible trajectories, or the potential of different interventions to reduce the number of infections.

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