What are chances of SA becoming failed state?

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Clem Sunter. (Pic Michael Hammond)
Clem Sunter. (Pic Michael Hammond)

Cape Town - The chance of South Africa becoming a so-called failed state is very unlikely and probably between 5% and 10%, according to scenario planner Clem Sunter.

In his view this would be, for instance, if public violence "goes through the roof".

At the same time he estimates the chance of SA staying in what he calls the "premier league" of top 60 nations at about 50% and that of going into the "second division" also at about 50%.

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