Johannesburg – The Zuma faction could still win the leadership of the ANC in December, but a shift in support by Mpumalanga premier and ANC head David Mabuza to Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa could boost his chances, according to an emerging markets economist.
Nomura’s Peter Attard Montalto's views that the Zuma camp will do whatever it takes to win in December have not changed. But the analyst noted that a “small” move by Mabuza is still important.
“Mpumalanga is important because it is a very cohesive and tightly run provincial ANC structure,” explained Montalto. “No province can be assigned 100% to either camp, but what is at stake is where the majority of votes can be placed in either camp.