Early US voting surpasses 2016 pre-election numbers, 9 days before election

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  • Early voting in the 2020 US election has already surpassed pre-election ballots from four years earlier.
  • According to the US Election Project, more than 59 million people have voted so far.
  • The Election Project has predicted that voter turnout this year could top 150 million in total.

Washington – Early voting in the 2020 US election has surpassed all the pre-election ballots from four years earlier, an independent vote monitor said on Sunday, with nine days still to go before the 3 November poll.

Millions of Americans wary of crowded polling booths during the coronavirus pandemic, and energised by an election fight that both President Donald Trump and his Democratic rival Joe Biden have framed as existential are smashing records for casting ballots, whether by mail or in person.

The tally by the independent US Election Project, run by the University of Florida, said that as of Sunday more than 59 million people had voted so far.

That is higher than the 57 million who voted early or by mail in 2016, according to the US Election Assistance Commission website.

So far, Democrats – who have encouraged early voting – have been leading the way, but whether that means Biden can breathe easy remains to be seen.

Trump for months has been claiming, without evidence, that mail-in ballots lead to fraud, and many Republicans are expected to vote on Election Day.

Turnout could top 150 million

With coronavirus cases spiking across the country, however, Michael McDonald – a political science professor at the University of Florida who administers the Election Project – warned that the strategy "looks all the more risky".

"What if at least some of his voters decide not to vote? What if a polling place becomes unavailable or an election office shuts down?" he tweeted.

The Election Project has predicted that turnout this year could top 150 million in total. Some 137 million ballots were cast in the 2016 election.

Some states key to the 2020 outcome were also firmly on the path to breaking records, such as Texas, where the Election Project said on Sunday that 80% of the early 2016 vote had already turned out.

"Folks, Texas still has in-person early voting until Friday, plus Election Day. No doubt Texas turnout will be above 2016. Question is, how much?" McDonald tweeted.

The election in Texas, traditionally a conservative bastion which has backed Republican candidates since 1980, is under close scrutiny, with some polls showing Biden in a position to edge out Trump.

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