The “Exoticness” of Monitoring American Presidential Elections

2012-11-08 22:33

And so the United States Presidential elections have come and gone – living some high and dry and some relieved of four more years of Barack Obama at the center and pivot of world stage – as the foremost world leader. The significance of Barack Obama, the black man, continuing four more years as president of the sole superpower in the world is that it deeply cut across our collective conscious shedding scales and scales of racial hatred and the ingrained destructive negative ideas about black people and their role in society.

Beginning with the Republican primaries last year I have been closely studying the US electoral map and trying to puzzle out which battleground states, which swing states and which toss-up states might go for President Obama, which for Mitt Romney and by how much.

Winning the US presidential elections is a grueling and taxing competitive affair. To win the elections eventually is not a matter of luck or politics per se but a matter of strength of personality and character. And Barack Obama show those traits in a great measure as he crisscrossed the vast land of America.

President Barack Obama is a man of practical wisdom. He is not so much theoretical and dogmatic as most African leaders who are educated like him tends to be. He is measured and resolute. His responses to situations is guided by his sense rather than dogma of conservatism or liberalism. Often when he speaks he brings practical life experiences of real life people. That makes him soulful and connected with people. He believes in a generous America, in a compassionate America, in a tolerant America that is opened "to the dreams of an immigrant’s daughter who studies in our schools and pledges to our flag to the young boy on the south side of Chicago who sees a life beyond the nearest street corner to the furniture worker’s child in North Carolina who wants to become a doctor or a scientist, an engineer or an entrepreneur, a diplomat or even a president".

Following the elections painstakingly closely listening and studying all political pundits in both spectrum of American divide: Conservative and liberal Barack Obama emerged as the most consistent in presentation of his message of FORWARD!

The essence the process of following American presidential elections comes down to the idea of polling – predicting results weekly and sometimes daily long before election days. Most of the times US elections are not given - they are always a close race between a Democratic presidential candidate face to face with a Republican candidate. There are number of organizations that predict and conduct polling. Most of them are either republican leaning or democratic leaning.

But through the process and through trial and error I found that RealClearPolitics news gathering, analysis and polling website was perfect for me when tracking the election. It is one of the most neutral news generating website compared to the rest, in my opinion. I liked the idea of its neutrality very well. What RealClearPolitics does is that it gathers and averages pre-election polls published by other polling organizations such as Gallup, Pew, Rasmussen etc. Overall the website has been commented by many an "essential stop for anyone interested in politics" as it features "serious intellectual pieces”. Its neutrality is invaluablr because of the United States politics is the most divided and the news gathering organizations often resemble this divide.

The polling and the predictions began so confusing and unpredictable immediately after the first presidential debate that took place in Denver which Mitt Romney won resoundly in October, the 6th. Before the debate President Barack Obama was leading Mitt Romney by about 5 to 6 percentage points. But after the first debate it was almost a tie with the respected and notable Gallup organization having Mitt Romney leading by 5 percent nationwide  Romney’s momentum continued and many analysts were beginning to think that Barack Obama’s campaign is collapsing. Even Mitt Romney boasted that Obama is running "a rapidly shrinking campaign".

Even when Barack Obama won the second debate a week later it seemed by all polling the Romney’s campaign was still surging. It seemed Mitt Romney was on a ball and rolling. And there were news that he already send people to Washington DC to prepare for a Romney Administration. There was also a talk of  landslide victory.

Then Hurricane Sandy came and interrupted Romney's momentum. For a week he was no longer the main center of news and practically disappeared from all TV screens -  as the reporting was focused on the storm and how Barack Obama as current president was handling it. All in all most opinion suggests that President Barack Obama managed the Sandy tragedy excellently and that played its way in the hearts of the voters thus helping him reclaim his lead in the polls.

But other informed political opinion and in-depth analysis pointed to the fact that Mitt Romney's surge and momentum was only sugar his and was not meant that people will vote for him - but they were only appreciating him as a man and gentleman. A great gentleman indeed Mitt Romney is - been a pastor and bishop for his church for ten years and raised great family.

As he depart the public stage after both CNN and Fox News has projected early on as votes were counted that Barack Obama has won enough of key battleground states enough to reach the required 270 electorate college numbers and will be re-elected, Mitt Romney said graciously: "I have just called President Obama to congratulate him on his victory. His supporters and his campaign also deserve congratulations. I wish all of them well, but particularly the president, the first lady and their daughters.This is a time of great challenges for America, and I pray that the president will be successful in guiding our nation. This election is over but our principles endure".

Mitt Romney fought a good fight but unfortunately one man has to stand victorious at the end of the day.

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