Zuma won’t fall ! but the Rand ...

2016-02-24 17:16

If you believe Zuma should fall, perhaps you should pat yourself on the back for being generally rational and optimistic. You are in a minority of the minority. However, if you are one of those who believe he will certainly fall and some time soon, you are most likely part of the majority of the minority. And since you belong to a majority, I wonder if your belief is bordering on theological, if not fantastical (the fallen), perhaps even wishful thinking, but certainly not logical. In fact, your thinking pattern in some ways seems strikingly similar to the masses of Zuma supporters.

Consider one thing that is almost certain about human nature. The seeds of positive change generally sit with a minority. The majority (or the masses) - like the majority of the minority - who believe Zuma will fall, generally remain biased, deluded, indifferent or even opposed to genuine progress. Let me explain how this applies to Zuma and his ANC:

First, what if the masses have little clue about the inner workings of large organizations such as the ANC? What if they cannot grasp that they were manipulated into supporting Zuma so that he could form his powerful ruling oligarchy? In other words, they do not understand that despite the ANC’s elaborate ‘democratic’ branch structures, it is Zuma and a few of his very close comrades that hold the decision rights in the ANC. What if this small but powerful group are using their concentrated power to serve their self-interests (A 'representing ourselves' democracy) while the masses pretend as if they are blind to their exploitation. This primate (note: not monkey) social form can also be found in many large corporations among C-suite executives. What if the Zuma oligarchy's tentacles has over the years spread into other spheres? What if they have imposed their will over many in religious institutions, tribal groups, big business, the media, the ministry, and the courts? If all of this is true, why would Zuma fall?

Second, what if the masses believe that Zuma and his close comrades are their kings and queens? This is not too dissimilar to those pandering employees who kiss up to those super C-suite executives. What if the masses and party loyalists believe that Zuma – the party leader – is indispensable? He is, after all, superior to them and so they pay him the type of reverence that borders on idol worshipping. What if the masses grant him superiority largely because of rituals and formalities (The Zuma motorcade), and despise anyone who criticise him? Even the name of the ANC has become synonymous with him. What if Zuma derives his charisma not from his intellectual ability but by portraying the image that he is a champion of the masses? What if the masses identify with him because he and the ANC oligarchy are masters of identity politics? What if the growing arrogance of the ANC kings and queens have been spreading to the masses? The masses may be stricken by poverty, but what if they are feeling all-powerful, even though they are being deceived by the rhetoric of their leaders? If this is indeed true, why would Zuma fall? So the question I wish to pose to the majority among the minority who 'believe' that Zuma will fall: Do you WISH that Zuma will fall or do you KNOW he will fall? In the fantastical world, Olympus has fallen; London has fallen; but in the real world I for one would not bet on Zuma falling, at least not anytime soon (The Rand, Perhaps. Zuma, No.).

It has been my experience that when dealing with issues of social change, the majority of the minority are generally too biased to make the correct observations, the majority of the majority are too deluded to do the right thing, and those few who wield enormous power - the oligarchs - are way too reluctant to just give it all up.

Allow me a moment then to join in the irrational exuberance.

All together now on 3,  And 1, and 2, and 3:

Zuma won’t fall! Zuma won’t fall! Zuma won’t fall!

As if. Pity. Nice try, though.

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